水资源保护2024,Vol.40Issue(5) :95-103.DOI:10.3880/j.issn.1004-6933.2024.05.012

基于集对分析的清流河流域蓝绿水分类分析

Classification analysis of blue and green water based on set pair analysis in the Qingliu River Basin

刘俊杰 高峰 刘翠善 王国庆 冯仲恺
水资源保护2024,Vol.40Issue(5) :95-103.DOI:10.3880/j.issn.1004-6933.2024.05.012

基于集对分析的清流河流域蓝绿水分类分析

Classification analysis of blue and green water based on set pair analysis in the Qingliu River Basin

刘俊杰 1高峰 2刘翠善 3王国庆 3冯仲恺4
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作者信息

  • 1. 河海大学水文水资源学院,江苏南京 210098
  • 2. 安徽省滁州市水文水资源局,安徽滁州 239000
  • 3. 南京水利科学研究院水灾害防御全国重点实验室,江苏南京 210029;河海大学长江保护与绿色发展研究院,江苏南京 210098;河海大学水安全与水科学协同创新中心,江苏南京 210098;水利部应对气候变化研究中心,江苏南京 210029
  • 4. 河海大学水文水资源学院,江苏南京 210098;南京水利科学研究院水灾害防御全国重点实验室,江苏南京 210029
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摘要

运用SWAT模型模拟厄尔尼诺和拉尼娜事件影响时段内清流河流域蓝绿水资源的时空分布规律,并利用集对分析法解析了多时间尺度下清流河流域蓝绿水资源丰枯演变特性.结果表明:厄尔尼诺和拉尼娜事件影响时段内清流河流域绿水资源分别比多年平均值高12.0 mm和69.7 mm,蓝水资源分别比多年平均值低115.7 mm和138.2mm,绿水系数分别比多年平均值高9.3%和12.9%;厄尔尼诺和拉尼娜事件影响时段内清流河流域蓝水资源均属于枯类,绿水资源属于丰类和平类;清流河流域蓝水资源在1967-1979年、1980-1992年、1993-2005年、2006-2018年4个阶段分别属于枯、平、枯、平类,绿水资源分别属于丰、平、丰、平类,蓝绿水资源丰枯演变具有一定的波动性.

Abstract

Using the SWAT model to simulate the spatiotemporal distribution patterns of blue and green water resources in the Qingliu River Basin during the impact periods of El Nino and La Nina events,and using set pair analysis to analyze the evolution characteristics of blue and green water resources in the Qingliu River Basin at multiple time scales.The results showed that during the impact periods of El Nino and La Nina events,the green water resources in the Qingliu River Basin were 12.0 mm and 69.7 mm higher than the annual average,the blue water resources were 115.7 mm and 138.2 mm lower than the annual average,and the green water coefficient was 9.3%and 12.9%higher than the annual average,respectively.During the periods affected by El Nino and La Nina events,the blue water resources in the Qingliu River Basin belong to the dry category,while the green water resources belong to the wet and normal categories.The blue water resources in the Qingliu River Basin belong to the dry,normal,dry,and normal categories during the four stages of 1967-1979,1980-1992,1993-2005,and 2006-2018,respectively.The green water resources belong to the wet,normal,wet,and normal categories,indicating that the evolution of blue and green water resources in the Qingliu River Basin has certain fluctuations.

关键词

蓝水资源/绿水资源/厄尔尼诺事件/拉尼娜事件/SWAT模型/集对分析/清流河流域

Key words

blue water resources/green water resources/El Nino event/La Nina event/SWAT model/set pair analysis/Qingliu River Basin

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基金项目

国家自然科学基金项目(U2240203)

国家自然科学基金项目(52121006)

国家重点研发计划项目(2022YFC3202301)

内蒙古自治区"揭榜挂帅"项目(2023JBGS0007)

出版年

2024
水资源保护
河海大学 中国水利学会环境水利研究会

水资源保护

CSTPCD北大核心EI
影响因子:0.827
ISSN:1004-6933
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