首页|基于GAMS的水库群调度及风险补偿研究

基于GAMS的水库群调度及风险补偿研究

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为平衡流域水库群成员的风险与收益,调动水库参与联合调度的积极性,保障水库群稳定运行,基于GAMS软件建立了水库群发电优化调度模型,进而确定补偿效益。采用熵权法基于水库特征参数确定水库重要程度,结合聚合降维思路改进了合作博弈理论的Shapley值法,建立了风险指标体系评价水库兴利调度风险,提出了基于调度风险修正效益分摊方案的水库群风险补偿方法,进而实现不同运行调度方案、不同发电破坏情形下水库群风险效益平衡。长江上游6条干支流上12座控制性水库实例应用结果表明,该风险补偿方法不仅考虑了水库个体特征和调度效益贡献,还兼顾了水库调度风险,可实现水库群补偿效益的合理化分摊。
Research on reservoir group scheduling and risk compensation based on GAMS
To balance the risk and benefit among reservoirs within a basin,enhance the enthusiasm of individual reservoir to participate in joint reservoir group scheduling,and maintain the stability of the reservoir group's operation,a reservoir group power generation optimization scheduling model was established based on GAMS software.The compensation benefits for each reservoir were determined.The entropy weight method was employed to calculate the importance of each reservoir based on characteristic parameter values of reservoirs.Aggregation dimensionality reduction thought was used to improve the Shapley value method in cooperative game theory,and the risk index system was established to evaluate the beneficial scheduling risks of reservoirs.A risk compensation method for reservoir groups based on scheduling risk correction benefit allocation scheme has been proposed,thereby achieving a balance of risk and benefit for reservoir groups under different operation scheduling schemes and power generation disruption situations.Taking 12 control reservoirs on 6 main and tributary rivers of the upper reaches of the Yangtze River as an example,the results show that this risk compensation method not only considers the individual characteristics of the reservoirs and the contribution of scheduling benefits,but also takes into account the scheduling risks of the reservoirs,achieving a rational allocation of compensation benefits for the reservoir group.

reservoir group schedulingGAMS softwarecompensation benefit allocationrisk compensationpower generation disruption

李继清、黄可、陈思雨、吴亮、周志鹏

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华北电力大学水利与水电工程学院,北京 102206

江河水利开发中心有限责任公司,北京 100161

水库群调度 GAMS软件 补偿效益分摊 风险补偿 发电破坏

2024

水资源保护
河海大学 中国水利学会环境水利研究会

水资源保护

CSTPCD北大核心EI
影响因子:0.827
ISSN:1004-6933
年,卷(期):2024.40(6)