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基于LMDI模型的高铁客运站碳排放关键驱动因素研究

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为解决高铁客运站各因素对碳排放作用规律不明确的问题,使制定的减排措施更具有针对性,以北京朝阳站为研究对象,结合铁路客运站碳排放影响因素的数据特点构建了LMDI铁路客运站碳排放驱动模型和计算方法,分析了高铁客运站碳排放驱动因素的碳排放.结果表明:LMDI模型可良好地解释各驱动因素的碳排放量,暖通空调系统为高速铁路客运站最大的碳排放驱动因素;暖通空调系统、热水和开水系统、照明系统、自动扶梯系统、通信信息系统对铁路客运站碳排放具有促进作用,建筑设备更换、可再生能源系统及建筑碳汇系统碳排放具有抑制作用;暖通空调系统、自动扶梯系统受客流增加的影响,碳排放随时间的增加,两者增幅较大;热水和开水系统的碳排放量变化不大,可再生能源系统及建筑碳汇系统不受客流的影响,3 年的减碳量基本一致;照明系统的设备更新减碳量明显.
Research on Key Driving Factors of Carbon Emissions in High-Speed Railway Stations Based on LMDI Model
To address the issue of unclear carbon emission patterns associated with various factors in high-speed railway stations and to make emission reduction measures more targeted,this study combines the data characteristics of factors influencing carbon emissions at Beijing Chaoyang Station,an LMDI carbon emission driving model and calculation method for railway stations were constructed.This approach allowed for an analysis of the carbon emissions driven by various factors in high-speed railway stations.The results indicate that the LMDI model effectively explains the carbon emissions attributed to different driving factors,with heating,ventilation,and air conditioning systems emerging as the primary contributor to carbon emissions at high-speed railway stations.Factors such as air conditioning systems,hot water and drinking water systems,lighting systems,escalator systems,and communication and information systems contribute positively to carbon emissions,while the replacement of building equipment,renewable energy systems,and building carbon sequestration systems have a suppression effect on emissions.Specifically,air conditioning systems and escalator systems are sensitive to increases in passenger flow,resulting in significant growth in carbon emissions over time.In contrast,carbon emissions from hot water and drinking water systems remain relatively stable,while renewable energy systems and building carbon sequestration systems are unaffected by passenger flow fluctuations,demonstrating consistent carbon reduction over three years.Notably,updating lighting system equipment leads to a marked decrease in carbon emissions.

high-speed railway stationcarbon emissionsdecomposeLMDI modeldriving factor

吴永江

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中铁建设集团有限公司 北京 100040

高铁客运站 碳排放 分解 LMDI模型 驱动因素

2024

铁道建筑技术
中国铁道建筑总公司

铁道建筑技术

影响因子:0.539
ISSN:1009-4539
年,卷(期):2024.(9)