首页|基于机器学习的隧道洞口开挖围岩变形预测及坍塌风险评估

基于机器学习的隧道洞口开挖围岩变形预测及坍塌风险评估

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隧道施工面临的地质和工程环境异常复杂,涵盖了各种地质构造、岩性、地下水位和地震活动等因素.其施工过程中围岩稳定性的评估和预测尤为关键.特别是在隧道洞口开挖阶段,由于开挖作业对周围地质环境的影响,围岩坍塌风险显著增加,可能导致严重的安全事故和工程延期.本文基于机器学习的方法,特别是监督学习和深度学习算法,用于隧道洞口开挖围岩变形预测并在此基础上对坍塌风险的评估.研究结果表明:无论是水平收敛还是拱顶沉降ARMA算法的沉降预测值与实测值差别较大,且波动幅度较大,水平收敛预测值与实测值之间的最大差值达到了1.7 mm,拱顶沉降预测值与实测值之间的最大差值达到了1.2 mm,其预测效果较差;而LSTM算法及RNN算法预测值与实测值均差距较小,LSTM算法相比于RNN算法其预测结果明显更稳定;随着时间的增加,围岩发生坍塌的风险有所增大,但坍塌风险均小于Ⅱ级.
Machine Learning Based Prediction of Surrounding Rock Deformation and Collapse Risk Assessment in Tunnel Entrance Excavation
The geological and engineering environment faced by tunnel construction is extremely complex,covering various factors such as geological structures,lithology,groundwater level,and seismic activity.The evaluation and prediction of the stability of the surrounding rock during its construction process are particularly crucial.Especially during the excavation stage of tunnel openings,due to the impact of excavation operations on the surrounding geological environment,the risk of surrounding rock collapse significantly increases,which may lead to serious safety accidents and project delays.This article is based on machine learning methods,especially supervised learning and deep learning algorithms,for predicting the deformation of surrounding rock during tunnel excavation and evaluating the risk of collapse on this basis.The research results show that both the horizontal convergence and arch settlement predicted by ARMA algorithm have significant differences from the measured values,and the fluctuation amplitude is large.The maximum difference between the horizontal convergence predicted value and the measured value is 1.7 mm,and the maximum difference between the arch settlement predicted value and the measured value is 1.2 mm,indicating poor prediction performance.The difference between the predicted values of LSTM algorithm and RNN algorithm and the measured values is relatively small,and the prediction results of LSTM algorithm are significantly more stable compared to RNN algorithm.As time goes on,the risk of surrounding rock collapse increases.But the risk of collapse is less than level Ⅱ.

machine learningtunnel engineeringexcavation of tunnel entrancedeformation predictionrisk assessment

席小武

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中铁建发展集团有限公司 北京 100043

机器学习 隧道工程 洞口开挖 变形预测 风险评估

2024

铁道建筑技术
中国铁道建筑总公司

铁道建筑技术

影响因子:0.539
ISSN:1009-4539
年,卷(期):2024.(9)