首页|2022年"2.13"冀中大雪过程多源气象资料分析

2022年"2.13"冀中大雪过程多源气象资料分析

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利用常规观测资料、era5 再分析资料、风廓线雷达产品、地基GPS/MET大气可降水量(precipitable water vapor,PWV)等,对 2022 年 2 月 13 日冀中大雪过程进行了详细分析.①降雪发生之前的 36 h内PWV呈增长态势,0~12 h上升最快,12~36 h呈缓慢上升趋势.②降水量和PWV呈一定正相关关系,降雪期间PWV变化平稳,随着PWV出现连续下降,降水结束.③风廓线雷达的水平风向风速演变对降雪的预报有一定指示意义:3 000 m突然出现 20 m/s的西南低空急流,随着 20 m/s的西南低空急流向下延伸至 2 500 m高度,降雪增强.④降雪之前,0.5 m/s及以上的正速度首先出现在 1 500 m以上,当 2 000 m以下突然出现 1.0 m/s以上的正速度后,0~3 h内降雪发生.⑤1 000 m以下垂直速度增加到 1.5 m/s及以上时,降雪增强.⑥降雪期间C2n(大气折射率结构常数)一直稳定在-180~-165 dB,C2n值小于-180 dB时,最大探测高度降至 3 500 m以下,整层垂直速度小于 0.5 m/s,预示降雪结束.
Analysis of Multi-source Meteorological Data on"2.13"Heavy Snowfall Process in Central Hebei in 2022
Using conventional observation data,era5 reanalysis data,wind profile radar products,ground-based GPS/MET and precipitable water vapor(PWV),the process of heavy snowfall in Central Hebei on February 13,2022 was analyzed in detail.The results showed that within 36 h before snowfall,PWV showed an increasing trend,with the fastest increase from 0 to 12 h and a slow increase from 12 to 36 h.There was a positive correlation between precipitation and PWV,and the change of PWV was stable during snowfall.With the continuous decline of PWV,the precipitation ended.The evolution of horizontal wind direction and wind speed of wind profile radar had certain indication significance for snowfall forecast.The southwest low-level jet of 20 m/s suddenly appeared at 3 000 m,and the snowfall increases as the southwest low-level jet of 20 m/s extended downward to a height of 2 500 m.Before the snowfall,the positive velocity of 0.5 m/s and above first appeared above 1 500 m.When the positive velocity of 1.0 m/s or above suddenly appeared below 2 000 m,the snowfall will occurred within 0-3 h.When the vertical velocity below 1 000 m increased to 1.5 m/s and above,the snowfall intensified.The C2n value was stable from-180 dB to-165 dB during snowfall.The C2n value was less than-180 dB,the maximum detection height dropped below 3 500 m,and the vertical velocity of the whole layer was less than 0.5 m/s,indicating the end of snowfall.

wind profile radarprecipitable water vaporheavy snowlow-level jet

马鸿青、董疆南、徐义国、于雷、王亚婷

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保定市气象局 河北保定 071000

风廓线雷达 大气可降水量 大雪 低空急流

2024

天津科技
天津科学技术信息研究所

天津科技

影响因子:0.253
ISSN:1006-8945
年,卷(期):2024.51(2)
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