统计研究2024,Vol.41Issue(1) :71-84.DOI:10.19343/j.cnki.11-1302/c.2024.01.006

RCEP成员国农产品贸易网络的动态结构及其影响因素分析

Analysis on the Dynamic Structure and Influencing Factors of Agricultural Product Trade Network of RCEP

彭红枫 王雪童 马世群
统计研究2024,Vol.41Issue(1) :71-84.DOI:10.19343/j.cnki.11-1302/c.2024.01.006

RCEP成员国农产品贸易网络的动态结构及其影响因素分析

Analysis on the Dynamic Structure and Influencing Factors of Agricultural Product Trade Network of RCEP

彭红枫 1王雪童 1马世群1
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作者信息

  • 1. 山东财经大学金融学院
  • 折叠

摘要

作为区域全面经济伙伴关系协定(RCEP)谈判的重点与难点,农产品贸易正日渐成为学术界的研究热点.本文应用社会网络分析方法,对RCEP成员国农产品贸易关系进行解析,并通过构建扩展形式的聚类系数等指标考察农产品贸易网络从RCEP协议提出至今的动态演变特征,采用基本贸易单元和贸易区中区进一步探究网络内部微观结构及其动态变化,并利用QAP模型对网络潜在影响因素进行分析.研究发现:RCEP成员国农产品贸易网络具有良好的贸易演进倾向,逐步形成汇集多方、多中心化格局;RCEP农产品贸易网络的紧密性与联动性逐年提升,且动态视角下的网络结构间存在递延关联,推进了农贸区中区的存在与发展;农业资源禀赋、国家需求规模和国家文化背景因素积极推进RCEP区域内农产品贸易网络的演进,而是否接壤的条件则阻碍了该进程;我国在RCEP区域内农产品贸易网络中凭借贸易量级优势取得了突出的中介地位,但距离成长为农贸优势国和中心国仍任重道远.

Abstract

As the focus and difficulty of the Reginal Comprehensive Economic Partnership(RCEP)negotiation,agricultural product trade is becoming the focus of academic research.This paper applies social network analysis methods to analyze the trade relations of agricultural products in RCEP member countries,and quantifies the overall network attributes and node attributes to investigate the dynamic evolution characteristics of the agricultural trade network since the RCEP agreement was put forward.Then it applies the basic trade unit analysis and the identification of trade zones to further explore the internal microstructure of the network and its dynamic changes.Finally the Quadratic Assignment Problem(QAP)model is used to analyze potential influence factors.The research finds that the agricultural product trade network of RCEP member countries has gradually formed an operable evolutionary trend that gathers many parties and forms multiple centers.The closeness and linkages of the RCEP agricultural product trade network have been increasing gradually,and the extension relation in the network structure has promoted the existence and development of agricultural trade zones from a dynamic perspective.Moreover,the heterogeneous effects of various factors on the above processes have also been confirmed such as the agricultural resource endowment,country demand scale,and cultural background,whereas the condition of country adjacency inhibits the processes.China has achieved a prominent intermediary position in the agricultural product trade network due to the advantage in quantity,but it still has a long way to go before it grows into a dominant country and a central country in agricultural trade.

关键词

农产品贸易/社会网络/基本贸易单元/贸易区中区/动态结构分析

Key words

Agricultural Product Trade/Social Network/Basic Trade Unit/Trade Zone/Dynamic Structure Analysis

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基金项目

国家自然科学基金面上项目(72273073)

教育部人文社会科学研究规划基金项目(22YJA790045)

国家社会科学基金重大项目(22&ZD119)

出版年

2024
统计研究
中国统计学会,国家统计局统计科学研究所

统计研究

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:2.019
ISSN:1002-4565
参考文献量19
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