Accounting model and demonstration for marginal environmental effects of the rapid urbanization in China
In order to analyze marginal environmental effects of China's rapid urbanization, a model was built to calculate the variation of contaminants caused by every one percentage-point increasing in the urbanization. The results show that the rapid urbanization has brought serious contradictions between its development and the environmental protection. From 1996 to 2009, urban waste-water discharges, COD, NH3-N and urban solid waste productions and NOX, CO2 emissions show positive relationships with every one percentage-point increasing in the urbanization. Due to the significant increase of the sludge treatment rate, COD and NH3-N emissions increasing with every one percentage-point increasing in the urbanization, which are positive during the period of the Tenth Five-Year Plan, turn to negative through the Eleventh Five-Year Plan. Besides, the less coal consumption results in decreased SO2 emissions with every one percentage-point increasing in the urbanization during the period of the Tenth and Eleventh Five-Year Plans. In conclusion, it is better for China to open up a path of Chinese characteristic urban development and hold rationally the speed and rhythm of the urban development to promote the harmony between the urban development and the environment.