首页|人工智能是否达到奇点――来自图情档职业被人工智能完全替代概率的数据分析与思考

人工智能是否达到奇点――来自图情档职业被人工智能完全替代概率的数据分析与思考

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[目的/意义]人工智能作为引领未来发展的重要技术形态,在推动社会经济发展、刺激产业创新的同时,也带来关于人工智能是否会替代人类劳动力的新议题,有必要关注以人工智能为代表的技术进步对图情档从业者的替代效应和对技能、知识等的新需求.[研究设计/方法]使用O*NET数据库,基于机器学习和网络分析方法预测图情档职业被人工智能替代的概率,识别从事相关岗位的重要专业技能、核心知识和核心素养,探究人类智能从事图情档职业的技能优势.[结论/发现]人工智能冲击下,图书馆文书助理、技术馆员等可程序化的职业面临短期被替代风险,这种大环境要求图情档从业者兼具技术性和人文性质,图情档从业者人类智能的技能优势主要体现在创造力、社交互动、管理规划和主动学习四个方面.[创新/价值]客观审视人工智能带来的劳动力替代问题,预测与评估人工智能完全替代图情档职业的概率,识别图情档从业人员理应发展的核心能力,有助于积极应对人工智能时代技术性失业问题,保障图情档领域就业稳定.
Whether AI Has Reached the Singularity:Data Analysis and Reflection on the Probability of LIS Occupations Being Completely Replaced by AI
[Purpose/Significance]Artificial Intelligence(AI)as a significant technological form leading future development,not only promotes socio-economic progress and stimulates industrial innovation,but also raises new issues about whether AI will replace human labor.It is necessary to pay attention to the substitution effect of technological advancement represented by AI on Library and Information Science(LIS)practitioners and the new demands for skills and knowledge.[Design/Methodology]Using the O*NET database,this study predicts the probability of LIS occupations being replaced by AI based on machine learning and network analysis methods.It identifies the important professional skills,core knowledge,and core competencies required by related positions,and explores the skill advantages of human intelligence in engaging in LIS occupations.[Findings/Conclusion]Under the impact of AI,library clerical assistants and library technicians,etc.,whose jobs are programmable,face the risk of being replaced in the short term.In this macro environment,LIS professionals are required to possess both technical and humanistic qualities.The skill advantages of human intelligence in LIS professionals are mainly reflected in their creativity,social interaction,management planning,and proactive learning.[Originality/Value]Objectively examining the issue of labor substitution brought about by AI,predicting and evaluating the probability of AI completely replacing LIS professions,and identifying the core abilities that LIS professionals should develop,can help actively respond to technological unemployment in the era of artificial intelligence,and ensure stable employment in LIS.

Artificial intelligenceLIS occupationsDisplacement effectCore knowledgeCore literacy

冯昌扬、陈静怡、高鹏钰、曾江峰

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华中师范大学信息管理学院,武汉,430079

人工智能 图情档职业 替代效应 核心知识 核心素养

国家社会科学基金青年项目National Social Science Foundation of China

23CTQ009

2024

图书情报知识
武汉大学

图书情报知识

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:1.649
ISSN:1003-2797
年,卷(期):2024.41(4)