The Impact of Technical Trade Barriers between Taiwan Area and Chinese Mainland on the National Economic Security
This paper uses a global trade analytical model(GTAP)to study the impact of technical trade barriers between Taiwan area and Chinese mainland on the national economic security.It is found that the increase of technical trade barriers of Taiwan will bring a certain negative shock on the economic aggregate target of Chinese mainland and Taiwan,such as investment,consumption,employment,terms of trade,import or export trade and benefit levels.And the economic damage of Taiwan is more serious than that of Chinese mainland.Meanwhile,the greater increase of technical trade barriers,the more serious shocks of economic impact in the Chinese mainland and Taiwan.In general,due to the huge economic size of the Chinese mainland and has classifications of whole industry in Chinese mainland,the simple increase of technical trade barriers in Taiwan will not cause too much risk of the economic security to the Chinese mainland.However,considering the industrial chain transfer effect and SPS spread effect,the increase of technical trade barriers in Taiwan will also cause a great threat to the economic security of the Chinese mainland.
Trade across the Taiwan StraitsTechnical Trade BarrierGlobal Value ChainEconomic Security
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NSTL
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