台湾研究2024,Issue(6) :22-30.

当前民进党派系矛盾的表现、原因及影响

The Manifestation,Cause and Influence of the Current DPP Factional Conflicts

陈先才 郑雨竹
台湾研究2024,Issue(6) :22-30.

当前民进党派系矛盾的表现、原因及影响

The Manifestation,Cause and Influence of the Current DPP Factional Conflicts

陈先才 1郑雨竹1
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作者信息

  • 1. 厦门大学台湾研究中心
  • 折叠

摘要

派系政治是民进党政治文化的重要组成部分,基于派系利益展开的斗争是民进党派系政治的特征之一.民进党派系消长的变化受选举结果的直接影响,因此派系矛盾主要表现在公职和党职选举中.2024年台湾"二合一"选举,以及民进党"党代会"选举引发民进党内部派系结构变化,导致派系加速分化重组,形成"亲赖"与"非赖"两大阵营.派系冲突暗流涌动,利益冲突是派系斗争的根本原因,赖清德的固执与强势性格无疑会加剧派系之间的矛盾与折冲.民进党派系矛盾将会随着2026年及2028年选举时程的逼近而激化,不仅有可能会削弱民进党派系共治的传统,而且也会影响岛内政局发展,甚至会冲击两岸关系.

Abstract

Factional politics is an important part of the DPP's political culture,and the struggle based on factional interests is one of the characteristics of the DPP's factional politics.The changes in the rise and fall of DPP factions are directly affected by the election results,so the factional conflicts are mainly manifested in the elections for public and party positions.the 2024 Taiwan"two-in-one"election and the DPP's Party Congress election triggered changes in the faction structure within the DPP,resulting in accelerated differentiation and integration of factions,forming two camps of"pro-Lai"and"non-Lai".The underlying cause of factional conflicts is the conflict of interests.Lai Ching-te's obstinacy and strong personality will undoubtedly aggravate the conflicts between factions.The DPP's factional conflicts will intensify as the 2026 and 2028 elections approach,which may not only weaken the DPP's tradition of factional co-governance,but also affect the development of the Taiwan political situation,and even impact cross-Strait relations.

关键词

民进党/派系政治/派系矛盾/赖清德

Key words

The DPP/Factional Politics/Factional Conflict/Lai Ching-te

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出版年

2024
台湾研究
中国社会科学院台湾研究所

台湾研究

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD
影响因子:0.336
ISSN:1006-6683
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