首页|京津冀城市群农业保险高质量发展水平测度、区域差异及动态演进

京津冀城市群农业保险高质量发展水平测度、区域差异及动态演进

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农业保险具有经济减震器和社会稳定器的重要功能.本文通过从发展规模、运行效率、成长能力三个维度建立京津冀城市群农业保险高质量发展指标体系,选取京津冀地区13个城市的2011-2021年指标数据,运用熵值法进行测度,通过灰色预测模型对2022-2032年的指标进行预测,运用基尼系数理论对区域差异进行分析,利用马尔可夫链研究其动态演进过程,并提出根据区域特点从发展规模、运行效率及成长能力角度分别采取措施促进高质量发展的建议.
Prediction,Regional Differences and Dynamic Evolution of High-quality Development Level of Agricultural Insurance in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei City Cluster
Agricultural insurance plays an important function of economic shock absorber and social stabilizer.Through establish-ing a high-quality development indicator system for agricultural insurance in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei city cluster from three di-mensions:development scale,operation efficiency and growth ability,the index data of 13 cities in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei re-gion from 2011 to 2021 are selected,measured by entropy method,and the indicators from 2022-2032 are predicted by grey pre-diction model.The Gini coefficient theory is used to analyze regional differences,and Markov chain is used to study the dynamic evolution process,and some suggestions are put forward to take measures to promote high-quality development from the perspec-tives of development scale,operation efficiency and growth ability according to regional characteristics.

Agricultural insuranceEntropy methodGini coefficientMarkov chain

李婕妤、尹东起、田惠敏、赵西君

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天津财经大学珠江学院

中国人民保险公司唐山市分公司

国家开发银行研究院

中国科学院科技战略咨询研究院

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农业保险 熵值法 基尼系数 马尔可夫链

2024

投资研究
中国投资学会 中国建设银行

投资研究

CHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:0.956
ISSN:1003-7624
年,卷(期):2024.43(9)