首页|1990-2021年中国胃食管反流病疾病负担分析

1990-2021年中国胃食管反流病疾病负担分析

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背景:全球胃食管反流病(GERD)发病率持续上升,对患者生活质量和公共卫生产生严重影响.目的:评估1990-2021年中国GERD疾病负担的动态变化.方法:通过全球疾病负担(GBD)2021数据库获取1990-2021年中国GERD患病、发病、伤残损失寿命年(YLDs)等数据,使用年龄-时期-队列(APC)模型分析年龄、时期和出生队列因素对GERD疾病负担的影响.结果:1990-2021年中国GERD现患、新发病例数和YLDs均呈上升趋势,但2021年年龄标化患病率、发病率和YLDs率分别为4 540.66/10万、1 844.31/10万和35.12/10万,较1990年分别下降0.48%、0.40%和0.43%.男、女性年龄标化率变化趋势与总体趋势一致,且女性疾病负担高于男性.按年龄分析显示总体以及男、女性患病率、发病率和YLDs率整体随年龄增长而增加,峰值出现于老年阶段.APC分析显示,1990-2021年中国GERD患病率、发病率和YLDs率整体随年龄增长而增加,纵向年龄曲线呈先上升后下降趋势;时期效应显示1992-2011年间风险呈下降趋势,之后开始上升;出生队列效应显示总体风险表现为波动下降,男、女性趋势与总体趋势相似.结论:尽管近年中国GERD年龄标化患病率、发病率和YLDs率有所下降,但疾病负担整体呈上升趋势,特别是中老年人群疾病风险较高.中国GERD的防治工作仍面临严峻挑战.
Burden of Gastroesophageal Reflux Disease in China from 1990 to 2021
Background:Gastroesophageal reflux disease(GERD)is increasing in incidence worldwide,which has a significant impact on patients'quality of life and public health.Aims:To assess the trend dynamics of disease burden of GERD in China between 1990 and 2021.Methods:The Global Burden of Disease(GBD)2021 database was used to obtain the data on prevalence,incidence,and years lived with disability(YLDs)of GERD in China from 1990 to 2021.The age-period-cohort(APC)model was further used to quantitatively analyze the effects of age,period,and birth cohort on disease burden.Results:From 1990 to 2021,the prevalent cases,incident cases,and YLDs of GERD in China showed an increasing trend.However,the age-standardized prevalence,incidence,and YLDs rates in 2021 were 4 540.66/100 000,1 844.31/100 000 and 35.12/100 000,respectively,which decreased by 0.48%,0.40%and 0.43%,respectively compared with those in 1990.In analysis of sex groups,the age-standardized rates were basically consistent with the general trend,and the disease burden of women was higher than that of men.When stratified with ages,the prevalence,incidence,and YLDs rates increased with age in both general and sex groups,and reached the peak in elderly people.APC analysis demonstrated that from 1990 to 2021,the prevalence,incidence,and YLDs rates of GERD increased with age,and the longitudinal age curve showed a trend of first rising and then decreasing.The period effect showed a downward trend in rate ratio between 1992 and 2011,followed by an increase.The birth cohort effect showed a fluctuating decline in risk ratio generally,with roughly the same trend for men and women.Conclusions:Despite the decline in age-standardized rates of prevalence,incidence,and YLDs of GERD in China in recent years,the overall burden of disease is on the rise,especially among middle-aged and elderly people,who are at high risk of developing GERD.The prevention and treatment of GERD in China still faces serious challenges.

Gastroesophageal Reflux DiseaseDisease BurdenPrevalenceIncidenceYears Lived With DisabilityAge-Period-Cohort Model

李娜、汤铭昱

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上海交通大学医学院附属仁济医院消化内科 上海市消化疾病研究所(200001)

胃食管反流病 疾病负担 患病率 发病率 伤残损失寿命年 年龄-时期-队列模型

2024

胃肠病学
上海交通大学医学院附属仁济医院

胃肠病学

CSTPCD
影响因子:1.217
ISSN:1008-7125
年,卷(期):2024.29(5)