To address the problems of multiple influencing factors and low prediction accuracy in the current carbon e-mission prediction of cement enterprises,various prediction models have been constructed with the help of big data ma-chine learning technology.The results show that the prediction accuracy error of the linear regression algorithm model for cement enterprises'carbon emissions is 12.78%,which can be reduced to 9%by machine learning model.However,by im-proving the BP(Back Propagation)network model with intelligent fireworks algorithm,the error can be reduced to only 6%,which can better meet the practical application requirements.Further analysis found that for enterprise carbon emis-sions,"clinker production and net electricity purchase"are the two factors with the most significant impact,while increas-ing the use rate of alternative fuels is currently the main way to achieve energy conservation and emission reduction.