Ship Merge-in Intention Identification at River Trunk and Branch Intersection Waters Based on Game Theory
Based on the game theory and ship collision risk measurement method,the income function of inward decision-making was constructed,which included safety income,time income and rule con-straints.The decision-making time of ship import was quantitatively determined by the method of ship conflict ranking operation,and then the identification model of ship import intention in the water area where the trunk and branch meet was constructed.In order to accurately estimate the weight of the model,with the maximization of decision-making income as the lower goal and the minimization of in-tention recognition error as the upper goal,a model parameter estimation framework based on double-level optimization method was designed.The validity of the proposed model is verified by the meas-ured data of Jiangsu section of the Yangtze River.The results show that the accuracy of the model proposed in this paper is 94.64%.
water transportation safetyintersection of trunk and branchmerge-in intention identifi-cationgame theory