基于系统动力学的PPP项目参与方的诚信演化博弈研究
An Integrity Evolutionary Game Analysis of the PPP Project Participants Based on System Dynamics
魏薇 1佘洁卿1
作者信息
- 1. 莆田学院 土木工程学院,福建 莆田 351100
- 折叠
摘要
工程项目参与方的诚信,对于PPP模式的推广和规范应用有着重要影响.为研究PPP项目各参与方的诚信意愿演化情况,构建PPP项目参与方的诚信演化博弈模型,对三方的诚信意愿变化及稳定状态进行分析,并采用系统动力学方法对各主体的诚信意愿进行动态模拟仿真.仿真结果表明:在三方博弈过程中,地方政府起主导作用,设计合理的动态处罚机制可降低社会资本失信行为,同时优化监督方式,鼓励社会公众参与监督.
Abstract
The integrity of participants in engineering projects has a significant impact on the promotion and standardized ap-plication of the PPP model.In order to study the evolution of integrity willingness among various participants in PPP projects,a game model for integrity evolution among participants in PPP projects was constructed,and system dynamics methods were used to simulate and predict the stability and trend range of integrity among each participant.The simulation results show that in the tri-partite game process,local governments play a leading role,and designing a reasonable dynamic punishment mechanism can re-duce social capital dishonesty behavior.At the same time,the supervision method should be optimized to encourage public partic-ipation in supervision.
关键词
PPP项目/诚信意愿/系统动力学/演化博弈/仿真模拟Key words
PPP projects/integrity willingness/system dynamics/evolutionary game/simulation引用本文复制引用
基金项目
福建省中青年教师教育科研项目(JAS19286)
福建省自然科学基金项目(2023J011002)
出版年
2024
NETL
NSTL
万方数据