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交通运输业碳排放效率与行业经济增长协调发展研究

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为实现我国绿色发展提供参考,基于2010-2019 年30 个省份数据,采用超效率SBM模型、协调发展指数模型、核密度估计、空间自相关分析、地理探测器等方法,对交通运输业碳排放效率与行业经济增长协调发展水平的时空演化特征及驱动因素进行了研究.研究表明:协调发展水平总体呈小幅波动上升趋势,处于较低的协调发展水平等级,各区域发展不平衡,东部>中部>西部;省域间协调发展水平绝对差异逐渐减小,但出现弱多极化趋势,2010 年、2018 年、2019 年3 年协调发展水平存在显著的正相关空间集聚效应,其他年份不存在显著的空间集聚状态;经济驱动力、环境治理力、产业带动力、城镇建设力、科技创新力、能源利用力共同驱动了两者的协调发展.
Study on the Coordinated Development of Carbon Emission Efficiency and Industry Economic Growth in the Transportation Industry
To provide a reference for realizing green development in our country,based on the data of 30 provinces from 2010 to 2019,adopts the super-efficient SBM model,the coordinated development index model,the kernel density estimation,spa-tial auto-correlation analysis,and geographic probes to study the spatio-temporal evolution characteristics and driving factors of the carbon emission efficiency of the transportation industry and the level of coordinated development of the industry′s economic growth.The spatio-temporal evolution characteristics and driving factors of the coordinated development level with the industry′s economic growth are studied.The study shows that:①The coordinated development level shows a small fluctuating upward trend and is at a lower coordinated development level,and the development of various regions is unbalanced,with east>central>western.②The absolute difference in the level of coordinated development between provinces gradually decreased,but the trend of weak multi-polarization appeared.There was a significant positive correlation of spatial agglomeration effect in 2010,2018,and 2019,while there was no significant spatial agglomeration in other years.③The economic driving force,envi-ronmental governance,industrial bandwidth,urban construction,scientific and technological innovation,and energy utilization jointly drive the coordinated development of the two.

transportation carbon emissionscoordinated developmentgeographic detectorspatial and temporal evolutiondrivers

杨青、郑衍迪、刘雪晴、吴向荣、付灵美

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武汉理工大学 安全科学与应急管理学院,湖北 武汉 430070

南京工业大学 应急管理学院,江苏 南京 211816

交通碳排放 协调发展 地理探测器 时空演变 驱动因素

国家自然科学基金项目

72374164

2024

武汉理工大学学报(信息与管理工程版)
武汉理工大学

武汉理工大学学报(信息与管理工程版)

CSTPCD
影响因子:0.37
ISSN:2095-3852
年,卷(期):2024.46(4)