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考虑电力系统运行风险的火电灵活性改造规划

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因新能源出力具有较强的随机性且可控性差,大规模并网必将对电力系统的安全运行带来风险与挑战.基于火电灵活性改造技术建立了灵活性火电技术经济模型,并基于条件风险价值理论对含新能源的电力系统运行风险进行量化表征,最后构建了计及系统运行风险成本的火电机组灵活性改造规划模型.基于算例系统的仿真验证表明,火电机组的灵活性改造能够降低系统的运行风险,并且该模型能够兼顾各方面成本,保证规划结果的有效性和合理性.
Thermal power flexibility retrofit planning considering the operational risk of the power system
Because of the strong randomness and poor controllability of new energy output,large-scale grid connection will definitely bring risks and challenges to the safe operation of the power system.This paper establishes a technical and economic model of flexible thermal power based on thermal power-flexibility transformation technology,and quantifies the operational risk of power systems containing new energy based on the conditional value-at-risk theory.Finally,a thermal power unit flexibility transformation-planning model that takes into account the operational risk cost of the system is constructed.Simulation based on example system shows that the flexibility transformation of thermal power units can reduce the operational risk of the system,and the model can take into account the costs of all aspects to ensure the validity and rationality of the planning results.

thermal power flexibilitythermal power unit retrofitconditional value-at-riskrisk measure

赵璐、范黎、余赛尔、龚青、吴云龙、罗毅

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中国电建湖北省电力勘测设计院有限公司,湖北武汉 430040

西安交通大学电气工程学院,陕西西安 710049

华中科技大学强电磁工程与新技术国家重点实验室,湖北武汉 430074

火电灵活性 火电机组改造 条件风险价值 风险度量

湖北省电力勘测设计院有限公司科研项目

K2021-2-08

2024

武汉大学学报(工学版)
武汉大学

武汉大学学报(工学版)

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:0.621
ISSN:1671-8844
年,卷(期):2024.57(5)