首页|物流业与区域经济发展耦合协调和共生关系研究——以浙江省为例

物流业与区域经济发展耦合协调和共生关系研究——以浙江省为例

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为考察物流业与区域经济相互影响程度在不同时期的状态及变化趋势,在对物流业和区域经济关系的相关研究进行综述的基础上,首先,构建了物流业和区域经济发展评价指标体系.其次,采用熵权法计算物流业与区域经济指标权重,得到综合指标,进而建立耦合协调模型,得到物流业与区域经济耦合协调情况;借鉴已有研究,构建物流业与区域经济共生模型.再次,以浙江省为例,根据建立的物流业和区域经济评价指标体系,选取2001-2021年的数据,共计315个样本,从耦合协调、共生两个视角分析了浙江省物流业和区域经济发展之间的关系.最后,根据算例结果提出了浙江省物流业与区域经济协调发展的相关建议.
Research on Coupling,Coordination and Symbiosis between Logistics Industry and Regional Economy:In the Case of Zhejiang Province
With the advance of the high-quality economic development and regional integration in Chi-na,the mutual influence,interdependence and interaction between the logistics industry and the regional econ-omy is increasing.As the economy develops,the demand for logistics activities will also increase,thereby driv-ing the continuous growth of the logistics industry.Meanwhile,the development of the logistics industry will also promote the cross-regional flow of commodities,drive the development of the transportation and ware-housing industries,etc.,and further the regional economy,and constitute one of the most important factors promoting regional economic growth.In order to examine the current status and changing trends of the degree of the mutual influence between the logistics industry and the regional economy in different periods,based on a review of relevant research on this subject,we first constructed an index system to evaluate the development of the logistics industry and the regional economy,which includes 9 logistics indicators from the three aspects of logistics industry infrastruc-ture,logistics industry demand and logistics industry production,and 6 regional economic indicators from the two aspects of economic development and social life.Secondly,we used the entropy weight method to calcu-late the weight of the logistics indicators and regional economic indicators to obtain the comprehensive indica-tors,and then established a coupling coordination model to examine the coupling coordination between the logistics industry and regional economy.Next,based on existing researches,we established the symbiosis mod-el between the logistics industry and the regional economy.Finally,taking Zhejiang Province as example,by referring to the China Economic Net database and Zhejiang Province Statistical Yearbook for the 2001-2021 period,in combination with data prediction methods such as linear interpolation and moving average,and based on the logistics industry and regional economic indicators system established,we selected a total of 315 samples relating to the 15 indicators above from 2001 to 2021,and analyzed the relationship between the logis-tics industry and regional economic development in Zhejiang Province from the perspectives of coupled coor-dination and symbiosis.The results showed that:(1)In terms of coupled coordination,except for the year of 2005,the overall cou-pling level between the two showed a gradual upward trend from 2001 to 2021.The logistics industry and the regional economy began to be barely coordinated in 2011,and achieved preliminary coordination in 2014,in-termediate coordination in 2016,and good coordination in 2018-2019.In 2020 and 2021,the logistics indus-try and regional economy were basically in a highly coupled and coordinated stage.(2)In terms of symbiosis,there were three stages from 2001 to 2021:the first being 2001-2011 which is also the starting stage of the lo-gistics industry when it played a stronger role and had significant impact on economic development;the second stage being 2012-2013,when,after the logistics industry reached its maximum effect,the two became compet-itive and entered a state of reverse symbiosis;and the third stage being 2014-2021,when in the context of con-tinuous coordination between the two,they became less competitive,the mutual influence changed from neg-ative to positive,and the two were in a state of positive asymmetric symbiosis where economic development played a stronger role.At last,based on the results of the analysis,we put forward relevant suggestions for the coordinated development of the logistics industry and regional economy in Zhejiang Province.

logistics industryregional economycoupling coordinationsymbiosisZhejiang

李红娟、方梅

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绍兴文理学院 数理信息学院,浙江 绍兴 312000

物流业 区域经济 耦合协调 共生 浙江

国家自然科学基金2020年绍兴文理学院校级项目

5187415313011001002

2024

物流技术
中国物流生产力促进中心 中国物资流通学会物流技术经济委员会 全国物资流通科技情报站 湖北物资流通技术研究所

物流技术

影响因子:0.506
ISSN:1005-152X
年,卷(期):2024.43(1)
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