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冷链风险及风险传导机制研究

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随着我国冷链物流的市场规模持续上涨,精准识别冷链过程中的风险影响因素并对其进行评价成为近年来备受关注的热点问题,而研究冷链各环节风险传导机制尤为重要.以"冷链风险""风险传导机制"为关键词,检索了CNKI和WOS公开发表的文献,对国内外文献进行对比分析.冷链风险研究方面,学者们通过区分引发因子的差异,对冷链风险进行分类;冷链风险因素识别方法主要集中于文献调研、专家经验、流程图分析等定量分析法,风险因素筛选不准确,风险评价体系不完整;冷链风险评价方法目前主要有定性分析和定量分析两种,定性分析具有主观局限性,随着研究的深入,定量方法会越来越普遍.风险传导机制研究方面,现有文献主要集中于金融、社会、项目建设及供应链方面,冷链风险传导机制的研究未见公开发表文献,但随着冷链物流行业的进一步发展,该领域会吸引越来越多学者的关注.
Review of Research on Cold Chain and Its Risk Transmission Mechanisms
Cold chain logistics services are suitable for products with high temperature requirements,however,the numerous uncertain factors along the various links of the services could lead to increased cold chain risks.As the size of the Chinese cold chain logistics market continues to grow,accurately identifying and evaluating risk factors in the cold chain process has become a hot topic attracting much attention in recent years,particularly so with researches on the mechanism and principle of transmission of the risks down the cold chain.In this paper,with"cold chain risk"and"risk transmission mechanism"as the keywords,we searched through the published literature in CNKI and WOS,and by subject word searching,abstract reading and key paper reading,analyzed the body of relevant literature in terms of nationality and major source journal,etc.Through comparative analysis,we pointed out that domestic cold chain research lags slightly behind the for-eign academia and with the development of the cold chain logistics industry,domestic scholars are paying more attention to the source identification and risk evaluation system of cold chain risks;the research on the mecha-nism of risk transmission has always been more advanced overseas than domestically;the transmission mecha-nism of cold chain risks has been seen rather scarcely in the papers,which shows that this is an emerging direc-tion of research;and the literature on cold chain risks and their transmission mechanisms is rising rapidly both in volume and quality.In terms of cold chain risk research,in view of the different types of cold chains formed around different product types and different cold chain risk factors leading to different cold chain risk types,therefore,scholars have been classifying the cold chain risks by distinguishing the differences in their triggering factors;the identification methods of the risks mainly include quantitative analysis,such as SCOR model,FMEA,ANP,and WBS-RBS coupling matrix,etc.,while the prevalent methods of cold chain risk factor identification are mainly qualitative,including literature research,expert experience,and flow chart analysis,etc.,which are inaccurate in risk factor screening and incomplete in risk assessment system;currently cold chain risk assessment includes both qualitative and quantitative analysis.Since qualitative analysis is limited by their subjectivity,as the understanding in this field deepens,quantitative analysis will become more popular.In terms of research on risk transmission mechanism,existing literature mainly focuses on the finance,social econ-omy,project construction and supply chain.Risk transmission theory is an emerging theory based on a com-plete theoretical system of risk identification,estimation,evaluation,and control.The risk transmission mechanism refers to the process of transmission of the risks within an economic sys-tem,including the generation,transmission and impact of the risks,etc.The risk transmission mechanism is complex and may cause chain reactions,thereby triggering systemic disruption.Current research methods of risk transmission mechanism mainly include complex network analysis,system dynamics,infectious disease models,and minimum spanning tree(MST),etc.Although there are no published articles on the transmission mechanism of cold chain risks,further development of the cold chain logistics industry will attract more atten-tion from the scholars.

cold chain logisticscold chain riskrisk transmission mechanismrisk identificationrisk as-sessment

旷光莲、闫军、刘丹、周宇航

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兰州交通大学 机电技术研究所,甘肃 兰州 730000

冷链物流 冷链风险 风险传导机制 风险识别 风险评价

甘肃省高等学校创新基金

2021A-032

2024

物流技术
中国物流生产力促进中心 中国物资流通学会物流技术经济委员会 全国物资流通科技情报站 湖北物资流通技术研究所

物流技术

影响因子:0.506
ISSN:1005-152X
年,卷(期):2024.43(1)
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