首页|基于信任度的供应链战略合作企业推选模型

基于信任度的供应链战略合作企业推选模型

扫码查看
将供应链合作、信任关系作为理论支撑,以历史合作数据为研究基础,对供应链节点企业信任影响因素进行系统性分析,建立信任度评估体系,融合贝叶斯理论,计算企业节点的直接信任度;根据皮尔逊相关系数的理论知识,计算出节点企业的间接信任度;再利用信息熵理论知识,判断出直接信任度和间接信任度对综合信任度的影响大小.最后就模型中各指标对综合信任度的影响大小进行仿真计算,对数据的测算结果表明:该信任评估模型中直接信任度对于权重的选取以及综合信任度大小的影响更大,同时权重的设定可以降低主观带来的结果偏差,为推选出企业战略合作伙伴提供一个参考.
Supply Chain Strategic Partner Selection Model Based on Trust
Strategic cooperation between enterprises on a supply chain is conducive to improving the competitiveness of the enterprises and achieving win-win,which makes it crucial for enterprises to choose suitable partners.In this paper,taking the supply chain strategic cooperation theory and trust theory as theo-retical support,we constructed a trust-based strategic partner selection model for a supply chain which will help determine the reliability of the partners,reduce their operating risks,and improve the success rate of en-terprise cooperation.It may also inspire the enterprises to emphasize the culture of trust and enhance their credibility.More specifically,based on historical transaction data,we systematically analyzed the factors af-fecting the trust of the supply chain enterprises,and by looking comprehensively at the interaction between direct trust and indirect trust,established the comprehensive trust assessment model for the supply chain en-terprises.First,by incorporating the Bayesian theory,we inferred the probability of successful transactions among the supply chain enterprises and,taking into account the timeliness of trust,introduced the time de-cay factor to better register the impact of recent interactions between the enterprises.In order to prevent the enterprises from malicious attempt at increasing trust,we proposed the attenuation function of transaction amount and transportation distance to avoid vicious competition,and finally built the direct trust model of the supply chain enterprises.Next,based on the Pearson correlation coefficient,we selected enterprises with sim-ilar business operations to the object enterprises of trust assessment to make the recommendation results more credible.Considering that supply chain enterprises have many transaction counterparts,complicating the information collection process and greatly increasing the data volume,we ranked the current enterprises according to the enterprise similarity value,and prioritized the top five most similar enterprises.Finally,we established the indirect trust model of the supply chain enterprises.In order to avoid the subjective bias in the setting of the model,we used the entropy weight method to assign weight to trust and to more accurately and objectively determine the impact of direct trust and indirect trust on comprehensive trust.In order to test the operability and generalization of the model and the rationality of the weight setting,we had an empirical simulation study to show that in this trust assessment model,direct trust of the enterprise has a greater im-pact on the setting of the comprehensive trust weight and on the results of the comprehensive trust degree of the trust assessment object,which further shows that as the direct trust degree increases,the comprehensive trust degree will also increase and enterprises with higher direct trust degree are more likely to achieve high-er comprehensive trust degree,thereby becoming deep-level partners.At the same time,the setting of weights can reduce result bias and subjectivity to a greater extent.The supply chain trust evaluation model established in this paper could provide reference for supply chain enterprises in strategic partner selection.

supply chain enterprisetrust assessmenttrust modelBayesian theoryentropy weight method

祝亚倩、任亚唯

展开 >

北京信息科技大学,北京 100192

供应链企业 信任评估 信任度模型 贝叶斯理论 熵权法

国家重点研发计划

2022YFB2703000

2024

物流技术
中国物流生产力促进中心 中国物资流通学会物流技术经济委员会 全国物资流通科技情报站 湖北物资流通技术研究所

物流技术

影响因子:0.506
ISSN:1005-152X
年,卷(期):2024.43(2)
  • 24