首页|我国物流业新质生产力水平的统计测度与空间特征研究

我国物流业新质生产力水平的统计测度与空间特征研究

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在深入探讨物流业新质生产力基本内涵的基础上,构建了一套科学合理的评价指标体系,以我国30个省份为研究对象,采用熵权法测度了2012-2022年我国物流业新质生产力水平.运用Dagum基尼系数及分解法、核密度估计法、空间Markov链模型等方法进一步探究了我国物流业新质生产力的区域差异及时空特征.研究发现:我国物流业新质生产力水平呈稳步上升态势,但区域间发展不平衡,东部地区显著高于其他地区.东部地区与中西部地区存在明显梯度差异,中西部地区存在多极化现象,但我国物流业新质生产力始终保持着前行的状态,各个省份间具有协同效应,高水平省份带动促进低水平省份的发展.根据研究结果提出了促进我国物流业新质生产力水平发展的相关政策建议.
Research on Statistical Measurement and Spatial Characteristics of New-quality Productivity Level of Chinese Logistics Industry
The development of new-quality productivity is not only a core driving force for promoting high-quality economic development but also an indispensable key strategy for achieving the grand goal of the rejuvenation of the Chinese nation.As a fundamental,strategic,and leading industry and a pillar to the national economy,the logistics industry urgently feels the need for the development of new-quality produc-tivity.This paper delves into the basic connotation of the new-quality productivity of the logistics industry and,on this basis,constructs a scientific and reasonable evaluation index system aimed to comprehensively and ac-curately grasp the current development status,realistic foundation,and spatiotemporal evolution characteris-tics of the new-quality productivity of the logistics industry in China,thereby underpinning the accelerated development of the logistics industry.Taking 30 provinces/cities in China as the research object,the entropy weight method is used to measure the level of the new-quality productivity of the logistics industry in these provinces/cities from 2012 to 2022.This method ensures the objectivity and accuracy of the evaluation re-sults,laying solid foundation for subsequent in-depth analysis.Furthermore,methods such as the Dagum de-composition of the Gini inequality ratio,kernel density estimation method,and spatial Markov chain model are employed to further explore the regional difference and spatiotemporal characteristics of the new-quality productivity of the logistics industry in China.The research finds that the level of the new-quality produc-tivity of the logistics industry in China shows a steady upward trend,but there is imbalance across the re-gions,with the eastern region significantly higher than the others;the Gini coefficient analysis identifies re-gional difference as the main reason for the overall imbalance,which will remind policymakers to pay more attention to narrowing such cross-regional gap.At the same time,the kernel density estimation method is used to analyze the spatial heterogeneity of the new-quality productivity level of the logistics industry in these provinces,revealing a significant gradient difference between the eastern and central-western regions,as well as multi-polarity in the central-western regions.Then,the spatial Markov chain model is used to show that the new-quality productivity of the logistics industry in China maintains a forward-moving state,with good synergy and regional linkage among the provinces,where high-scoring provinces will lend mo-mentum to their slower counterparts.Accordingly,it is proposed that corresponding measures must be taken to strengthen regional coordination,optimize spatial layout,and enhance industrial spatial synergy to pro-mote the overall development of the logistics industry.

logistics industrynew-quality productivityspatial characteristicsDagum Gini coefficientkernel density estimation methodspatial Markov chain

韩嵩、王子纯

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北京物资学院,北京 101149

物流业 新质生产力 空间特征 Dagum基尼系数 核密度估计法 空间Markov链

2024

物流技术
中国物流生产力促进中心 中国物资流通学会物流技术经济委员会 全国物资流通科技情报站 湖北物资流通技术研究所

物流技术

影响因子:0.506
ISSN:1005-152X
年,卷(期):2024.43(10)