Research on Coupling Relationship between Logistics Industry and Economic Development in Northeast China:A Dual Cycle Perspective
In view of the strategic conception of the dual circulation of domestic and international mar-kets and the construction of the"Northeast Land-sea Corridor",the coupling and coordinated development of logistics industry and economy is particularly important to the regional development of Northeast China.Seeing that Northeast China is geographically and commercially close to Russia,Japan,and South Korea,we studied in-depth the coordinated development of regional economy and logistics in Northeast China and the intensity of the economic and logistics tie between Northeast China and Northeast Asian countries from the two dimensions of internal and external economy.Focusing on the economic and logistics index system of Jining,Liaoning,Heilongjiang and Inner Mongo-lia,we used the entropy value method to determine the weights of relevant variables and accurately measure the comprehensive development level of regional economy and logistics industry.Also,by using the cou-pling coordination degree model and obstacle degree model,we analyzed the coordinated development trend of regional economy and logistics industry in said region,explored the evolution characteristics of the coupling coordination between the two from the space-time dimension,and analyzed the obstacle factors,hoping to provide scientific support for the coordinated development of the region.Besides,we used the re-vised gravity model to estimate the gravity intensity of the economy and logistics industry between Northeast China and Northeast Asian countries from 2013 to 2020 and analyzed the dynamic changes to the external economy and logistics industry of the region.The results show that regional economy and logistics industry in Northeast China show sound coordinat-ed development trend in the dual cycle pattern,among which Liaoning is particularly outstanding.As an im-portant part of Northeast China,Liaoning is ahead of competitors by a large margin in terms of the linkage intensity between export-oriented economy and logistics and has frequent exchanges with Northeast Asian countries.Through the study,it is found that he region is coordinated and stable in development as a whole,but there are significant regional differences,which is affected by factors such as international trade environment.Accordingly,we make the following recommendations.Firstly,it is necessary to balance internal and exter-nal demand and enhance the resilience of local supply chains.Second,the core role of Liaoning should be ful-ly utilized in the construction of the Northeast Land-sea Corridor.Thirdly,we should strengthen policy guidance and support to promote the optimal allocation of resources.Fourthly,we should promote econom-ic and trade exchanges with Northeast Asian countries,expand cooperation scope and raise cooperation lev-els.
regional economylogistics industrycoupling and coordinated developmentthree provinces and one autonomous region in Northeast Chinadual cycle