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社会风险预警与防控机制建设:一个社会燃烧理论的框架

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社会风险治理面临治理观念困境、多元格局困境、社会参与困境.社会燃烧理论为解释社会治安风险的形成及防控提供了有效的逻辑支撑.依据社会燃烧理论,社会治安风险的形成需经历积累与萌芽、发展与升级、爆发与燃烧、平息与善后阶段.多重因素导致的社会矛盾是"可燃物",失范的舆论是"助燃剂",缺位的治理行为是"着火点".完善社会风险治理,可从减少燃烧因子、控制助燃物质、降低社会温度三个层面着手,做好源头治理,建立常设性的预警机制,形成多元共治的协同治理局面.
Social Risk Warning and the Construction of Prevention System:A Framework of Social Combustion Theory
The governance of social risk faces difficulties in governance concepts,multiple patterns,and social participation.The"social combustion"theory provides effective logic support for explaining the formation and prevention of social security risks.According to the theory,the formation of social security risks requires accumula-tion and bud,development and upgrade,outbreak and combustion,and post-disaster mitigation.Multiple factors causing social contradictions are"combustible materials",abnormal public opinion is"ignition aid",and missing governance behaviors are"ignition points".Improving social risk governance can be achieved by reducing combus-tion factors,controlling ignition materials,and decreasing social temperature from three levels.Therefore,it is necessary to establish a permanent warning mechanism and form a coordinated governance situation that integrates multiple actors.

social risk governancesocial security prevention and controlrisk warningsocial combustion theory

邓世仑

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广东警官学院 公共管理系,广东 广州 510000

社会风险治理 社会治安防控 风险预警 社会燃烧理论

2024

中国人民警察大学学报
中国人民武装警察部队学院

中国人民警察大学学报

影响因子:0.378
ISSN:2097-0900
年,卷(期):2024.40(3)
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