首页|数字经济与财政可持续性协同发展研究

数字经济与财政可持续性协同发展研究

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随着数字经济的快速发展,财政支出结构的优化得到了有效促进,财政资源配置的效率也得到了提升。基于2011-2020年中国省级面板数据,通过构建耦合协调度模型计算各地区数字经济发展与财政可持续性的耦合协调度。在此基础上,进一步运用空间计量模型,对数字经济发展与财政可持续性的系统耦合协调度的驱动因素进行分析,实证结果发现:首先,数字经济发展水平与财政可持续性均呈现出直线上升的趋势,但存在明显的区域异质性。其次,数字经济发展与财政可持续性的耦合协调度低值地区逐渐减少,且东部地区耦合协调度明显高于中西部地区,耦合协调度高的省份都处在东部沿海地区。最后,通过对驱动因素的分析,发现数字经济发展与财政可持续性耦合协调的驱动因素主要有经济发展水平、对外开放水平、产业结构、科技创新水平、政府干预度、财政自主度,其中财政压力与市场化程度对两系统的耦合协调产生消极影响。在数字经济的发展背景下,政府应优化财政支出结构、完善财税政策激励制度,以高效的财政运行机制,促进数字经济与财政可持续性的协调发展。
Research on the Collaborative Development of Digital Economy and Fiscal Sustainability
With the rapid development of the digital economy,it has effectively promoted the further optimization of fiscal expenditure structure and improved the efficiency of financial resource allocation.Based on China's provincial panel data from 2011 to 2020,the coupling coordination degree model is constructed to calculate the coupling coordination of digital economy development and fiscal sustainability in each region.On this basis,the spatial econometric model is further used to analyze the driving factors of the system coupling coordination of digital economy development and fiscal sustainability.The empirical results show that.Firstly,the development level of the digital economy and fiscal sustainability both show a linear upward trend,and there is obvious regional heterogeneity.Secondly,the coupling coordination degree between digital economy development and fiscal sustainability is gradually decreasing in low-value areas,and the coupling coordination degree in the eastern region is significantly higher than that in the central and western regions.Provinces with high coupling coordination degree are all located in the eastern coastal areas.Finally,through the analysis of driving factors,the main driving factors for the coupling and coordination of digital economy development and fiscal sustainability include economic development level,opening up level,industrial structure,technological innovation level,government intervention degree,and fiscal autonomy.However,fiscal pressure and marketization degree have a negative impact on the coupling and coordination of the two systems.In the context of the development of the digital economy,we should optimize the structure of fiscal expenditure,improve the incentive system of fiscal and taxation policies,and promote the coordinated development of the digital economy and fiscal sustainability with an efficient fiscal operation mechanism.

digital economyfinancial sustainabilityspatial Durbin modelcoupled coordination degree

铁卫、廖丽春

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西安财经大学经济学院,陕西西安 710100

数字经济 财政可持续性 空间杜宾模型 耦合协调度

国家统计局项目陕西省社会科学基金

2021LY0572021D063

2024

西安财经大学学报
西安财经学院

西安财经大学学报

CHSSCD
影响因子:0.87
ISSN:2096-7454
年,卷(期):2024.37(1)
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