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数字金融对碳回弹的影响及其空间溢出效应

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基于数字金融空间溢出视角,选取2012-2021年中国内地30个省份面板数据为样本,构建空间杜宾模型分析数字金融对本地区和周边地区碳回弹的影响,并从产业、技术和资金等角度探讨数字金融对碳回弹的作用机制。研究结果表明:(1)数字金融能显著抑制本地区碳回弹,且数字金融与碳回弹均存在全局相关和局部集聚特征,数字金融能通过空间溢出效应降低周边地区碳回弹水平,这一结论在经过一系列稳健性检验后依然成立;(2)异质性分析发现,传统金融发达地区数字金融抑制碳回弹作用更强,东中西部地区数字金融均能抑制本地区碳回弹水平提升,且东部地区数字金融对周边地区碳回弹具有显著的抑制作用,而中西部地区数字金融的空间溢出效应并不明显;(3)机制分析结果表明,数字金融通过推动产业结构优化、激励绿色技术创新和发展绿色金融进而抑制碳回弹,产业结构优化的中介作用最强,其次是绿色金融,而绿色技术创新的中介效应相对较弱。数字金融对本地区产业结构优化、绿色技术创新和绿色金融发展具有促进作用,但对周边地区的空间溢出效应不明显。产业结构优化能降低本地区碳回弹水平,而绿色技术创新和绿色金融能在抑制本地区碳回弹的同时降低周边地区的碳回弹水平。
The Impact of Digital Finance on Carbon Rebound and Its Spatial Spillover Effect
Based on the spatial spillover perspective of digital finance,using panel data from 30 provinces in mainland China from 2012 to 2021 as a sample,a spatial dubin model was constructed to analyze the impact of digital finance on the carbon rebound in the region and surrounding areas,and the mechanism of digital finance on carbon rebound was discussed from the perspectives of industry,technology and capital.The research results showed that:(1)digital finance can significantly inhibit local carbon rebound,and digital finance and carbon rebound both have global correlation and local agglomeration characteristics,digital finance can reduce the level of carbon rebound in surrounding areas through spatial spillover effects,which is still valid after a series of robustness tests;(2)Heterogeneity analysis showed that:The digital finance had a stronger inhibition effect on carbon rebound in developed regions with traditional finance,and digital finance can inhibit the improvement of carbon rebound level in eastern,central,and western regions,and digital finance in eastern regions had a significant inhibitory effect on carbon rebound in surrounding regions,while digital finance in central and western regions had no obvious spillover effect;(3)The mechanism analysis results showed that:The digital finance inhibits carbon rebound by promoting industrial structure optimization,encouraging green technology innovation and developing green finance,and the intermediary effect of industrial structure optimization is the strongest,followed by green finance,the intermediary effect of green technology innovation was the weakest.Digital finance can promote the optimization of industrial structure,green technology innovation and green finance development in the region,but the spatial spillover effect on surrounding areas is not obvious.Industrial structure optimization can reduce the carbon rebound level in the region,while green technology innovation and green finance can reduce the carbon rebound level in the region while reducing the carbon rebound level in the surrounding region.

digital financecarbon reboundspace overflowgreen financegreen technology innovation

肖仁桥、肖阳

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安徽财经大学工商管理学院,安徽蚌埠 233030

华中科技大学管理学院,湖北武汉 430074

数字金融 碳回弹 空间溢出 绿色金融 绿色技术创新

国家社会科学基金一般项目安徽省社会科学基金规划一般项目

23BGL065AHSKY2022D062

2024

西安财经大学学报
西安财经学院

西安财经大学学报

CHSSCD
影响因子:0.87
ISSN:2096-7454
年,卷(期):2024.37(3)
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