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清代宁夏地区气象灾害时空分异特征研究

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通过对宁夏地区灾害史料的搜集整理与量化处理,运用数理统计和小波分析等方法,借助Matlab、ArcGIS和SPSS等软件工具,对清代(1644-1911年)宁夏地区干旱、洪涝、霜雪、冰雹和风沙等5类主要气象灾害的频率特征、时空分布以及各灾种之间的相关性等进行研究.结果显示,清代宁夏地区主要气象灾害的发生频次由高到低分别为洪涝、冰雹、干旱、霜雪和风沙;时间分布上,各类气象灾害发生情况整体呈现波动上升的趋势,具有低—高—低—高的频次分布规律,Morlet小波分析则显示清代宁夏地区气象灾害存在强显著的59a的长变化周期;在空间分布上,干旱、冰雹灾害呈现南多北少的分布趋势,洪涝灾害则多分布于北部平原的引黄区,而霜雪、风沙灾害的分布特征较不明显;在气象灾害系统内存在洪涝和冰雹的极显著正相关,此外霜雪、冰雹、干旱3类灾害也呈现一定的正相关.
Spatial and Temporal Characteristics of Meteorological Disasters in Ningxia during Qing Dynasty
In this paper,through the collection and quantitative processing of disaster historical data in Ningxia region,using mathematical statistics and wavelet analysis methods,with the help of Matlab,ArcGIS and SPSS software tools,the frequency characteristics,spatio-temporal distribution and correlation of five major meteorological disasters,including drought,flood,frost and snow,hail and wind and sand,were investigated and studied in Ningxia in the Qing Dynasty(1644-1911 AD).The results show that the frequency of major meteorological disasters in Ningxia region during Qing Dynasty was flood,hail,drought,frost and snow,wind and sand respectively;the temporal distribution of the occurrence of various types of meteorological disasters as a whole showed an upward trend of fluctuation with a low-high-low-high frequency distribution pattern.Morlet wavelet analysis showed that there was a strong and significant 59a long change cycle of meteorological disasters in Ningxia during Qing Dynasty;in the spatial distribution,drought and hail disasters showed a distribution trend of less in the south and less in the north,and flood disasters are mostly distributed in the yellow-introducing area of the northern plains,while the distribution characteristics of frost,snow and sand disasters were less obvious;there was a highly significant positive correlation between floods and hailstorms in the meteorological disaster system,in addition,frost,snow,hail and drought disasters also showed a certain positive correlation between the three types of disasters,namely frost,snow and sand,which is very important for the development of meteorological disaster systems.

Ningxia regionmeteorological disastersspatial and temporal variabilitycorrelation analysisQing dynasty

张盼盼、胡玉冰

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宁夏大学文学院,银川 750021

宁夏地区 气象灾害 时空分异 相关性分析 清代

2024

西安文理学院学报(自然科学版)
西安文理学院

西安文理学院学报(自然科学版)

影响因子:0.209
ISSN:1008-5564
年,卷(期):2024.27(2)