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新质生产力对碳排放的影响——基于30个省份的面板数据分析

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基于我国30个省份2012-2022年的面板数据,实证分析新质生产力对碳排放水平的影响。研究结果显示:新质生产力显著降低了碳排放水平;研发能力、数字经济等新质生产力构成要素是降低碳排放水平的核心动力;机制研究表明,新质生产力能够通过改善产业结构进而降低碳排放水平;从空间分布看,新质生产力对碳排放水平的影响具有区域异质性,可以显著降低中西部地区碳排放水平,但未能降低东部地区碳排放水平;空间溢出效应显示,新质生产力会增加邻近地区的碳排放水平。基于以上结果,提出鼓励发展新质生产力、持续改善产业结构、因地制宜发展新质生产力、强化省域合作等对策建议。
The Impact of New Quality Productivity on Carbon Emissions——Based on Panel Data Analysis of 30 Provinces
Based on the panel data of 30 provinces in China from 2012 to 2022,the impact of new quality productivity on carbon emission level was empirically analyzed.The results show that the new quality productiv-ity significantly has reduced the level of carbon emission;New quality productivity components such as re-search and development capabilities and digital economy are the core driving forces for reducing carbon emis-sion levels.The mechanism study shows that the new quality productivity can reduce the carbon emission level by improving the industrial structure;From the perspective of spatial distribution,the effect of new quality pro-ductivity on carbon emission level has regional heterogeneity,which can significantly reduce the carbon emis-sion level in the central and western regions,but cannot reduce the carbon emission level in the eastern region.The spatial spillover effect shows that the new quality productivity will increase the carbon emission level of the neighboring area.Finally,countermeasures and suggestions are put forward to encourage the development of new quality productivity,continuously improve the industrial structure,develop new quality productivity accord-ing to local conditions,and strengthen provincial cooperation.

new quality productivitycarbon emissionsindustrial structurespillover effect

张优智、鱼渊

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西安石油大学经济管理学院,陕西西安 710065

新质生产力 碳排放 产业结构 溢出效应

陕西省社会科学基金项目西安市社会科学规划基金项目

2023D04423JX129

2024

西安石油大学学报(社会科学版)
西安石油大学

西安石油大学学报(社会科学版)

CHSSCD
影响因子:0.287
ISSN:1008-5645
年,卷(期):2024.33(5)