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中国石油产业链供应链韧性评价

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石油安全直接关系国家的能源安全、经济稳定和社会发展,而增强我国石油产业链供应链韧性是保障我国能源安全的关键。围绕石油产业链供应链韧性的内涵构建综合评价体系,采用熵值法对2002-2022年石油产业链供应链韧性水平进行测度,并运用DEMATEL-ISM模型找出影响石油产业链供应链韧性的主要因素。研究发现:中国石油产业链供应链韧性水平总体处于波动式上升,在2015年超过样本期平均水平;恢复能力是影响中国石油产业链供应链韧性的主要因素;抵御能力在确保石油产业链供应链韧性的重要因素中占比较大。提出增强石油供给能力、拓宽石油运输渠道、降低对外依存度的对策建议。
Evaluation on the Resilience of China's Oil Industry Chain and Supply Chain
Oil security is directly related to national energy security,economic stability and social devel-opment,and strengthening the resilience of China's oil industry chain and supply chain is the key to ensure China's energy security.A comprehensive evaluation system was built around the connotation of the resilience of the oil industry chain and supply chain.The entropy method was used to measure the resilienceof the oil indus-try chain and supply chain from 2002 to 2022,and the DEMATEL-ISM model was used to find out the main factors affecting the toughness of the oil industry chain and supply chain.The results show that the resilience level of China's oil industry chain and supply chain is generally rising in a fluctuating manner,exceeding the average level of the sample period in 2015;restorability is the main factor affecting the resilience of China's oil industry chain and supply chain;the ability to resist accounts for a large proportion of the important factors to ensure the resilience of the oil industry chain and supply chain.Some countermeasures and suggestions are put forward to enhance the oil supply capacity,broaden the oil transportation channels and reduce the dependence on foreign countries.

energy securityoil industry chain and supply chainresilienceentropy method

吴文洁、冯王怡

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西安石油大学陕西(高校)油气资源经济管理研究中心,陕西西安 710065

西安石油大学经济管理学院,陕西西安 710065

能源安全 石油产业链供应链 韧性 熵值法

2024

西安石油大学学报(社会科学版)
西安石油大学

西安石油大学学报(社会科学版)

CHSSCD
影响因子:0.287
ISSN:1008-5645
年,卷(期):2024.33(6)