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基于客观组合赋权法的即墨市水资源可持续利用评价

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以即墨市为例,基于DPSIR模型构建了水资源可持续利用评价体系,并采用变异系数法和熵值法相结合的客观组合赋权法确定指标体系权重。研究结果表明:①采用变异系数法和熵值法相结合的指标权重较好地反映评价指标的相对重要性,即墨市水资源可持续利用水平的主要影响指标为人口自然增长率、造林面积、环保投资额占GDP比重、生态用水比例和GDP增长率;②即墨市水资源可持续利用水平呈“升(1999-2005)-降(2005-2009)-升(2009-2011)”的发展趋势。从建立多途径的水资源供给体系、形成节约型的水资源利用方式、完善水资源管理和运行体制方面提出了响应对策。
Assessment of sustainable use of water resources based on combination of weighting method in Jimo
Taking Jimo for example ,the paper used DPSIR model to build the evaluation system for sus-tainable use of water resources and determined the index weight by combination of objective weighting method which combines the variation coefficient method and entropy method .The result showed that①the combination of variation coefficient method and entropy method can better reflect the relative importance of the evaluation index .The main factors impacting Jimo's water resources sustainable utilization level are natural population growth rate , afforestation area ,ratio of environmental protection investment account for GDP, percentage of ecological water ,GDP growth rate;②Jimo's sustainable utilization level of water re-sources presents the trend of “rising(1999-2005) -falling(2005-2009)-rising(2009-2011)”.At last, the paper proposed the response strategy from the three aspects of building multiple water supply system , forming water saving utilization way and improving the management and operation schedule of wa -ter resources.

Water resourcesDPSIR modelvariation coefficient methodentropy methodassessment of sustainable use of water resources

周玲玲、王琳、刘伟峰、余静

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中国海洋大学环境科学与工程学院,青岛市266100

国家海洋局第一海洋研究所,青岛266061

中国海洋大学海洋环境学院,青岛266100

水资源 DPSIR模型 变异系数法 熵值法 水资源可持续利用评价

国家水专项资金资助项目

2008ZX07010-008-04

2014

水资源与水工程学报
西北农林科技大学

水资源与水工程学报

CSTPCD
影响因子:0.512
ISSN:1672-643X
年,卷(期):2014.(4)
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