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陕西省安康市瀛湖镇滑坡灾害分布特征与易发性分析

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开展滑坡易发性评价是防灾减灾工作的基础科学前提.陕西省安康市汉滨区是滑坡灾害多发区,为研究滑坡提供了良好的窗口.本文以汉滨区瀛湖镇为典例,综合选取高程、地形起伏度、斜坡结构、坡向、高程变异系数、覆盖层厚度、坡度、归一化植被系数(NDVI)、距道路距离和距河流距离等10项影响因子,以斜坡单元为评价依据,采用频率比(FR)分析了滑坡分布特征.进一步基于逻辑回归-频率比组合法(LR-FR)开展研究区的滑坡易发性评价,并对结果进行检验与分析.结果显示高程变异系数、地形起伏度、坡向和距道路距离为研究区影响滑坡发育的主控因子;LR-FR的成功率和预测率分别为0.804、0.843;极高易发区与高易发区主要分布在瀛湖水库两岸以及道路和河流附近,两区占斜坡总面积的33.66%,其中滑坡发育面积为1.08 km2,占滑坡总面积的84.36%,与实际滑坡的分布具有良好的一致性,表明易发性评价结果可靠.研究成果为汉滨区瀛湖镇地质灾害风险管控以及类似地区滑坡易发性评价研究工作提供了新的基础参考依据.
Distribution Characteristics and Susceptibility Assessment of Landslide Hazards in Yinghu Town,Ankang,Shaanxi
Landslide susceptibility assessment is a basic scientific prerequisite for hazard prevention and mitiga-tion efforts.The Hanbin District in Ankang,Shaanxi,is a landslide disaster-prone area,and provides an ideal opportunity to study landslides.In this study,the Yinghu Town in Hanbin was selected as the study object,and 10 impact factors were selected,which includes elevation,relief,slope structure,aspect,elevation variation coefficient,cover layer thickness,slope,normalized vegetation coefficient(NDVI),distance from roads and distance from rivers.Based on the slope unit,frequency ratio(FR)was used to analyze the distribution charac-teristics of the landslides.Landslide susceptibility assessment in the study area was performed based on the logistic regression frequency-ratio method(LR-FR),and further the results were analyzed and validated.The results show that the elevation variation coefficient,relief,aspect and distance from roads were the main control-ling factors of the landslide in the study area;the success and prediction rates of LR-FR were 0.804 and 0.843,respectively;the area with extremely high susceptibility is mainly distributed on both sides of Yinghu Reservoir,near roads,and rivers,which accounts for about 33.66%of all slope areas,includes landslide areas of 1.08 km2,84.36%of all landslide areas.There is a satisfactory agreement between the susceptibility map and the existing data on landslide distributions,indicating that the susceptibility assessment results are accepta-ble.The results of the study provide an important scientific reference for the control of geologic hazards in Ying-hu Town of Hanbin District,as well as for the landslide susceptibility assessment in other areas.

landslidesusceptibility assessmentslope unitfrequency ratiologistic regression

麻晟、陈剑、吴赛儿

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中国地质大学(北京)工程技术学院,北京 100083

滑坡 易发性评价 斜坡单元 频率比 逻辑回归

国家科技基础资源调查专项课题国家自然科学基金项目

2019FY10160541571012

2024

现代地质
中国地质大学(北京)

现代地质

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:1.2
ISSN:1000-8527
年,卷(期):2024.38(2)
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