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我国工业经济高质量发展水平测度与空间差异研究

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在对相关文献进行梳理的基础上,以新发展理念为理论基础,采用熵权-TOPSIS法对2011-2020年我国30个省(不含西藏和港澳台)的面板数据构建我国工业经济高质量发展的指标体系,并借助了 Dagum基尼系数进行分析.随后,使用随机核密度估计和空间Markov链的方法,深入剖析我国工业经济高质量发展的时空演变规律.研究结果表明:从时序演变来看,中国的工业经济高质量发展呈现出明显的区域不平衡,不同区域之间的高质量发展指数也有很大差别.但是,随着时间的推移,这种不平衡性正在逐渐减小,各地区的工业发展水平也在逐步提高;各省份的工业经济高质量发展存在不平衡现象,这种不平衡主要体现在各地区之间的差异上.特别是东部地区与中部地区的工业经济发展程度存在着明显的差距;从空间分布特征来看,我国工业经济高质量发展的特征差异明显,表现出强烈的俱乐部趋同现象.同时存在正向的"溢出效应".
Measurement and Spatial Differences of the High Quality Development Level of China's Industrial Economy
Based on the combing of related literature,and taking the new development concept as the theoretical basis,the entropy weight-TOPSIS method was used to construct the index system for the high-quality development of China's industrial economy on the panel data of 30 provinces(excluding Tibet,Hong Kong,Macao,and Taiwan)in China from 2011 to 2020,and analysed with the help of Dagum's Gini coefficient.Subsequently,the methods of stochastic kernel density estimation and spatial Markov chain are used to deeply analyse the spatio-temporal evolution law of the high-quality development of China's industrial economy.The results of the study show that,in terms of temporal evolution,the high-quality development of China's industrial economy shows obvious regional imbalances,and the high-quality development indexes between different regions are also very different.However,with the passage of time,this imbalance is gradually decreasing,and the level of industrial development in each region is gradually improving;there is an imbalance in the high-quality development of the industrial economy in each province,and this imbalance is mainly reflected in the differences between regions.In particular,there is an obvious gap between the degree of industrial economic development in the eastern region and the central region;from the point of view of the spatial distribution characteristics,the characteristics of high-quality development of China's industrial economy differ markedly,showing a strong club convergence phenomenon.At the same time,there is a positive"spillover effect".

high-quality development of industrial economyentropy weight-TOPSISDagum Gini coefficientspatial Markov chain

张文玉、韩桂兰

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新疆财经大学,新疆 乌鲁木齐 830012

工业经济高质量发展 熵权-TOPSIS Dagum基尼系数 空间Markov链

2024

现代工业经济和信息化

现代工业经济和信息化

影响因子:0.485
ISSN:
年,卷(期):2024.14(1)
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