首页|山东省装备制造业绿色发展路径的系统动力学研究

山东省装备制造业绿色发展路径的系统动力学研究

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为了探究装备制造业绿色发展的有效路径,基于DPSIR模型构建涵盖经济、能源、环境、技术要素的系统动力学模型,模拟8种路径测度2021-2030年装备制造业绿色发展系统在单要素驱动和集成要素驱动下的效果.结果表明:单要素调整下创新驱动有利于提升经济发展和产业绿色值,环境驱动可缓解因污染带来的经济损失;要素协同发展取得的整体效果比单要素驱动更显著,其中创新-环境-结构驱动下正向促进效果最为明显.
System Dynamics Research on Green Development Path of Equipment Manufacturing Industry in Shandong Province
In order to explore the effective path of green development of the equipment manufacturing industry,a system dynamics model covering economic,energy,environmental and technological elements is constructed based on the DPSIR model,and eight paths are simulated to measure the effect of the green development system of the equipment manufacturing industry under single-factor and integrated-factor drive from 2021 to 2030.The results show that:innovation drive under single-factor adjustment is conducive to enhancing economic development and industry green value,and environment drive can alleviate economic losses due to pollution;the overall effect achieved by synergistic development of factors is more significant than that of single-factor drive,among which the positive promotion effect is most obvious under innovation-environment-structure drive.

equipment manufacturing industrygreen developmentDPSIR modelsystem dynamics

崔赵怡、丁明智

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安徽理工大学经济与管理学院,安徽 淮南 232000

装备制造业 绿色发展 DPSIR模型 系统动力学

2024

现代工业经济和信息化

现代工业经济和信息化

影响因子:0.485
ISSN:
年,卷(期):2024.14(8)