首页|基于数学模型的配电网运行维护成本分析

基于数学模型的配电网运行维护成本分析

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配电网的运行维护是电网企业投资的重要组成部分,为了优化投资策略,需要对网络运维成本进行准确的估算.鉴于此,构建了一个集成灰色关联分析(Grey Relational Analysis,GRA)与人工神经网络(Artificial Neural Network,ANN)的精准成本预测模型.模型实验结果显示,该数学模型显著降低了人工神经网络预测模型所需输入变量的数量,进而有效提升了模型的预测精度与效率,验证了该方法在提高成本预测准确性方面的优越性.
Mathematical Model-Based Analysis of Distribution Metwork Operation and Maintenance Costs
Operation and maintenance(O&M)of distribution networks is an important part of the investment of grid companies,and accurate estimation of network O&M costs is required in order to optimize the investment strategy.In view of this,an accurate cost prediction model integrating Grey Relational Analysis(GRA)and Artificial Neural Network(ANN)is constructed,and the experimental results of the model show that the mathematical model significantly reduces the number of input variables required for the ANN prediction model,which in turn effectively improves the prediction accuracy and efficiency of the model.The results show that the mathematical model significantly reduces the number of input variables required for the artificial neural network prediction model,which in turn effectively improves the prediction accuracy and efficiency of the model,and verifies the superiority of the method in improving the accuracy of cost prediction.

distribution networkgray correlation analysisartificial neural networkprediction model

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国网山西省电力公司大同供电公司,山西 大同 037000

配电网 灰色关联分析 人工神经网络 预测模型

2024

现代工业经济和信息化

现代工业经济和信息化

影响因子:0.485
ISSN:
年,卷(期):2024.14(11)