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上海市育龄青年三孩生育意愿及其对教育的影响

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基于上海市育龄青年群体生育三孩意愿的调查数据,运用卡方检验、多元有序Logistic回归分析,探究影响上海市育龄青年群体生育三孩意愿的影响因素.研究发现,上海市育龄青年群体生育三孩意愿普遍偏低;上海市育龄青年群体生育三孩意愿受到性别、年龄、户籍、学历、婚姻状况、现有孩子数量、是否独生子女、家庭月收入、上海购房情况等因素影响,并体现不同层次生育意愿特征;生育支撑体系、家庭与生育观、个人职业发展、城市人口流动是影响上海市育龄青年群体生育意愿的四大因子,其中家庭与生育观是最大的影响因子.较低的三孩生育意愿不利于学前教育阶段和义务教育阶段的资源投入和优化配置.为进一步提升上海市育龄青年群体的生意意愿,要实现政策导向与生育自主回归相结合,全面提升与有的放矢相结合,提倡科学生育观,完善生育支持体系.
A Preliminary Study of Three-child Fertility Intention and Its Impact on Education Among Shanghai Youth of Childbearing Age
Based on the survey data on the willingness to have three children of young people of childbearing age in Shang-hai,the study explored the influencing factors on the willingness by using chi-square test and multiple ordered logistic regression analysis.The study found that the willingness of Shanghai's youth of childbearing age to have three children is generally low;and it is affected by factors such as gender,age,household registration,educational background,marital status,number of existing children,whether an only child,monthly family income,housing situation,etc.,those factors characterize fertility intentions at dif-ferent levels.Fertility support system,family and fertility views,personal career development,and urban population mobility are the four major factors influencing the fertility intention of Shanghai's youth of childbearing age,with family and fertility views be-ing the most influential factors.Lower willingness of three-child fertility intention is not conducive to the investment and optimal allocation of resources in the pre-school education and compulsory education stage.To further enhance the willingness of Shang-hai's youth of childbearing age,it is necessary to realize the integration of policy orientation and fertility autonomy,the combina-tion of comprehensive enhancement and targeting,the promotion of scientific views of fertility,and the improvement of the fertility support system.

youth of childbearing agethree-child birth intentioninfluencing factorsShanghai

陈玮、高阳

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上海交通大学医学院附属瑞金医院,上海 200025

育龄青年 三孩生育意愿 影响因素 上海

上海交通大学文理交叉基金上海交通大学文科青年人才培育项目

17JCYA152023QN041

2024

现代基础教育研究

现代基础教育研究

ISSN:
年,卷(期):2024.53(1)
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