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基于Python改进的高速公路扩建项目交通量预测

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以传统的四阶段法为基础,在交通生成阶段使用Python(计算机编程语言)对现状高速公路路段OD(origin-destination,起讫点)进行拆分,从四阶段法的第一个阶段入手,提高高速公路扩建项目中交通量预测的精度.同时,将研究方法应用于沪武高速公路太仓至常州段扩建项目,结合不同过江通道的建设时序,对道路各特征年的交通量进行预测,分析远景年的路段OD,为扩建技术方案的制定及交通组织提供依据.结果表明:该方法提高了高速公路扩建项目交通量的预测精度,对类似工程具有指导意义.
Traffic Volume Forecast for Expressway Expansion Projects Based on Python Improvement
Based on the traditional four-stage method,the current expressway segment OD is split by using Python in the traf-fic generation stage,and the accuracy of traffic volume forecast of expressway expansion project is improved from the first stage of the four-stage method.The method is applied to the expansion project of the Taicang-Changzhou section of the Shang-hai-Wuhan Expressway.Combined with the construction sequence of different river crossing passages,the annual traffic vol-ume of each feature of the road is predicted,and the segment OD of the long-term year is analyzed,which provides a basis for the formulation of expansion technology scheme and traffic organization.The results show that the method improves the fore-cast accuracy of the expressway expansion project,and has guiding significance for similar engineering schemes.

four-stage methodriver crossing passageexpresswaytraffic volume forecast

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苏交科集团股份有限公司,南京 210019

四阶段法 过江通道 高速公路 交通量预测

2024

现代交通技术
江苏省交通科学研究院

现代交通技术

影响因子:0.431
ISSN:1672-9889
年,卷(期):2024.21(2)
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