首页|中老年慢性肌肉骨骼疼痛患者恐动症的影响因素分析

中老年慢性肌肉骨骼疼痛患者恐动症的影响因素分析

扫码查看
目的 调查中老年慢性肌肉骨骼疼痛(chronic musculoskeletal pain,CMP)患者恐动症发生现状,并采用 Logistic回归分析模型与决策树模型分析其影响因素.方法 于 2023 年 1 月—6 月采用方便抽样法,选取在新疆乌鲁木齐市某三级甲等骨科专科医院住院的 370 例中老年CMP患者为调查对象,采用一般情况调查表、恐动症评分表、一般自我效能感量表、医学应对方式问卷、社会支持评定量表进行调查,采用Logistic回归分析模型与决策树模型分析老年CMP患者恐动症的影响因素,并评价两种模型的预测效果.结果 352 例中老年CMP住院患者完成研究.恐动症发生率为 67.3%.Logistic回归分析模型与决策树模型均显示,自我效能感、社会支持是中老年CMP住院患者恐动症发生的影响因素.两种模型分析结果比较显示,Logistic回归分析模型的敏感度(99.2%)、特异度(89.5%),均高于决策树模型(96.6%、87.8%).Logistic回归分析模型的曲线下面积(area under curve,AUC)为 0.971(95%CI:0.952~0.990),标准误为 0.010,决策树模型的AUC为 0.948(95%CI:0.921~0.974),标准误为 0.013,两种模型的预测价值良好.结论 中老年CMP住院患者恐动症发生率高,Logistic回归分析模型与决策树模型相结合,能充分挖掘中老年CMP住院患者恐动症影响因素,建议将两种模型联合使用,为中老年CMP住院患者恐动症的评估与干预提供依据.
Influencing factors of kinesophobia in middle-aged and elderly patients with chronic musculoskeletal pain
Objective To investigate current status of kinesophobia in middle-aged and elderly inpatients with chronic musculoskeletal pain(CMP),and explore the influencing factors.Methods A purposive sampling method was used to select middle-aged and elderly CMP patients hospitalised in a Grade IIIA orthopaedic hospital in Urumqi,Xinjiang between January and June 2023 as the study subjects.General questionnaire,Tampa scale for Kinesiophobia(TSK),general self-efficacy scale,medical coping models questionnaire and social support rating scale were used in the investigation.Logistic regression analysis and decision tree model were employed to analyse the factors that influenced kinesiophobia in the patients,and the predictive effects of the two models were evaluated.Results It was found that 67.3%of the 352 included inpatients had kinesiophobia.Self-efficacy and social support were found as the influential factors for kinesiophobia by both of logistic regression analysis and decision tree model.Moreover,both Logistic regression analysis and the decision tree model showed high value in prediction of kinesophobia in middle-aged and elderly patients with CMP with AUC at[0.971(95%CI:0.952-0.990)and 0.948(95%CI:0.921~0.974),respectively]with standard error at 0.010 and 0.013,respectively.However,the logistic regression analysis exhibited higher sensitivity and specificity in comparison with the decision tree model(99.2%vs.96.6%;89.5%vs.87.8%,respectively).Conclusions Middle-aged and elderly CMP inpatients are highly susceptible to kinesiophobia.A logistic regression analysis combined with the decision tree model can fully spot the influencing factors of kinesophobia in middle-aged and elderly patients with CMP.Therefore,it is suggested to combine the two methods in the assessment and management of kinesiophobia among middle-aged and elderly CMP patients.

musculoskeletal painkinesiophobiamiddle-aged and elderly peopleLogistic regressiondecision tree modelcross-sectional study

阿依布塔·吾哈甫、董正惠、韩欣悦、骆朝辉

展开 >

新疆医科大学护理学院,新疆乌鲁木齐,830054

新疆医科大学第六附属医院,新疆乌鲁木齐,830002

慢性肌肉骨骼疼痛 恐动症 中老年 Logistic回归分析模型 决策树模型 横断面研究

新疆维吾尔自治区自然科学基金

2023D01C159

2024

现代临床护理
中山大学

现代临床护理

CSTPCD
影响因子:1.317
ISSN:1671-8283
年,卷(期):2024.23(3)
  • 26