现代泌尿外科杂志2024,Vol.29Issue(12) :1039-1046.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1009-8291.2024.12.003

基于SEER数据库分析检查淋巴结数及阳性淋巴结比率用于前列腺癌患者生存预后评估的价值

Survival prognosis evaluation value of examined lymph nodes and positive lymph node ratio in prostate cancer

王金茹 卜珂 安恒庆 陶宁
现代泌尿外科杂志2024,Vol.29Issue(12) :1039-1046.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1009-8291.2024.12.003

基于SEER数据库分析检查淋巴结数及阳性淋巴结比率用于前列腺癌患者生存预后评估的价值

Survival prognosis evaluation value of examined lymph nodes and positive lymph node ratio in prostate cancer

王金茹 1卜珂 1安恒庆 2陶宁1
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作者信息

  • 1. 新疆医科大学公共卫生学院,新疆乌鲁木齐 830017
  • 2. 新疆医科大学第一附属医院泌尿外科,新疆乌鲁木齐 830054
  • 折叠

摘要

目的 基于监测、流行病学和最终结果(SEER)数据库分析检查淋巴结数(ELN)及阳性淋巴结比率(LNR)预测前列腺癌(PCa)患者5年、10年总生存期(OS)和肿瘤特异性生存期(CSS)的价值,以期为PCa患者的临床诊疗提供参考.方法 分析在SEER数据库中筛选出的2010-2020年PCa患者的资料.应用R 4.3.0软件将1842例PCa患者按照7:3的比例随机分配到训练集(n=1290)和验证集(n=552).调整多因素Cox比例风险回归模型中差异有统计学意义的因素,绘制限制性立方样条图(RCS),确定ELN和LNR的最佳截断值,用受限平均生存时间(RMST)分析PCa患者5年和10年的OS、CSS.结果 多因素Cox分析显示,ELN每增加1个单位,PCa患者死亡的风险降低2.9%,肿瘤特异性死亡的风险降低3.1%;LNR增加1个单位,PCa患者死亡的风险增加481.4%,肿瘤特异性死亡的风险增加667.5%.ELN与PCa患者死亡风险和肿瘤特异性死亡的风险均呈非线性关系(非线性检验P<0.001),LNR与PCa患者死亡风险和肿瘤特异性死亡的风险则均呈线性关系(非线性检验P>0.05).RMST结果显示,评估PCa患者OS的最佳ELN范围为12~29,评估CSS的最佳ELN范围为12~25,LNR均>0.152提示预后不良.结论 明确ELN、LNR范围对于PCa的临床精准化诊疗有一定参考价值.

Abstract

Objective To explore the number of examined lymph nodes(ELN)and positive lymph node ratio(LNR)in the prediction of 5-year and 10-year overall survival(OS)and cancer-specific survival(CSS)of prostate cancer(PCa)patients,so as to provide reference for clinical practice.Methods Information of PCa patients screened in the Surveillance,Epidemiology and End Results(SEER)database during 2010-2020 were analyzed.A total of 1842 PCa patients were assigned to the training set(n=1290)and validation set(n=552)in a 7∶3 ratio with R 4.3.0 software.Significant factors in the multivariate Cox proportional risk regression model were adjusted,restricted cubic spline plots(RCS)were plotted,the optimal cut-off values of ELN and LNR were determined,and the 5-year and 10-year OS and CSS were analyzed with restricted mean survival time(RMST).Results Multivariate Cox analysis showed that there was a 2.9%reduction in the risk of death with an increase of 1-unit ELN and a 3.1%reduction in the risk of cancer-specific death.There was a 481.4%increase in the risk of death with a 1-unit increase in LNR and a 667.5%increase in the risk of cancer-specific death.The risk of overall death and cancer-specific death in ELN and PCa patients showing a non-linear relationship(P<0.001),while in the LNR and PCa patients showing a linear relationship(P>0.05).RMST results showed that the optimal ELN range for evaluating OS was 12-29,the optimal ELN range for assessing CSS was 12-25,LNR>0.152 indicated poor prognosis.Conclusion We have clarified the range of ELN and LNR,which can provide reference for the clinical precision diagnosis and treatment of PCa.

关键词

前列腺癌/检查淋巴结数/阳性淋巴结比率/总生存期/肿瘤特异性生存期

Key words

prostate cancer/examined lymph nodes/positive lymph node ratio/overall survival/cancer-specific survival

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出版年

2024
现代泌尿外科杂志
西安交通大学

现代泌尿外科杂志

CSTPCD
影响因子:1.106
ISSN:1009-8291
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