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融合情绪分析和Informer-ARIMA模型的比特币价格预测方法

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相较于传统金融产品,比特币价格更容易受到情绪的影响而展现出更高的波动性,为此价格预测具有极高的研究价值。为提高比特币价格预测的精准度,文章在预测模型中引入情绪指标,构建融合情绪分析和Informer-ARIMA模型的预测方法。从多维度分析价格时间序列的随机波动、循环变化、周期变化等变化规律,对比特币的价格进行有效预测。测试结果表明,融合情绪分析的Informer-ARIMA模型性能更优,验证了所提方法的可行性和有效性。
A Bitcoin Price Prediction Method Integrating Emotional Analysis and Informer-ARIMA Model
Compared to traditional financial products,the price of Bitcoin are more susceptible to emotional influence and has higher volatility,making price prediction has highly research value.To improve the accuracy of Bitcoin price prediction,this paper introduces emotional indicators into the prediction model and constructs a prediction method that integrates emotional analysis and Informer-ARIMA model.Analyze the random fluctuations,cyclic changes,and periodic changes of price time series from multiple dimensions,and make effective predictions on the Bitcoin price.The test results indicate that the Informer-ARIMA model,which integrates emotional analysis,performs better,verifying the feasibility and effectiveness of the proposed method.

Informer-ARIMA modelemotional analysislong time series forecastingBitcoin price prediction

张雅波、陈春晖

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福建理工大学,福建 福州 350118

Informer-ARIMA模型 情绪分析 长时序预测 比特币价格预测

福建省教育科学研究课题

2018CG02748

2024

现代信息科技
广东省电子学会

现代信息科技

ISSN:2096-4706
年,卷(期):2024.8(9)
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