消防科学与技术2024,Vol.43Issue(2) :197-202.

开放性公共场所人员疏散行为倾向分析

Analysis of evacuation behavior tendency of people in open public places

胡成 刘绍华 毛天露
消防科学与技术2024,Vol.43Issue(2) :197-202.

开放性公共场所人员疏散行为倾向分析

Analysis of evacuation behavior tendency of people in open public places

胡成 1刘绍华 2毛天露3
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作者信息

  • 1. 北京市科学技术研究院城市安全与环境科学研究所 应急管理研究中心,北京 100054
  • 2. 北京邮电大学电子工程学院,北京 100875
  • 3. 中国科学院计算技术研究所 前瞻研究实验室,北京 100190
  • 折叠

摘要

开放性公共场所人群聚集风险突出,常规的疏散措施不能有效缓解场所内外的人群聚集风险态势,需要掌握突发情况人员疏散行为特征.选择深圳东门步行街为研究区,开展人员疏散行为问卷调查,根据人群聚集状态拟定人员疏导服从性、聚集拥堵应对和应急疏散响应3类疏散行为倾向场景,并采用SPSS 25.0卡方检验分析性别、年龄段、群组等基本特征与人员疏散行为倾向之间的相关性.研究结果表明:步行街存在老幼群体、携带包裹、环境熟悉度低等影响疏散效率的因素;小部分人在面对疏导、遭遇聚集拥堵情形后可能采取继续停留拍照、长时间等候、围观等聚集行为,以及在被疏散至安全地带后围观甚至返回,这些行为可能导致场所内部聚集得不到有效缓解,并在外围形成新的人群聚集风险点;"男性、大群组、短期游客"三类群体的疏散行为表现不佳,聚集围观、停留以及返回的比例更高,尤其是同行人数 4人及以上的大群组更可能采取往前挤这种危害行为.

Abstract

The risk of crowd gathering in open public places is prominent,and conventional evacuation measures cannot effec-tively alleviate the risk situation of crowd gathering inside and out-side the place.It is of great significance to master the characteris-tics of evacuation behavior of people in emergencies.Shenzhen Dongmen Pedestrian Street was selected as the research area to carry out a questionnaire survey on evacuation behavior,and three evacuation behavior tendency scenarios were developed ac-cording to the crowd gathering state,namely,obedience of per-sonnel,gathering congestion response and emergency evacuation response.SPSS 25.0 Chi-square test was used to analyze the cor-relation between basic characteristics such as gender,age,group and evacuation behavior tendency.The results show that:(1)there are old and young groups,carrying packages and low envi-ronmental familiarity in pedestrian street,which affect evacuation efficiency.(2)a small number of people may continue to stay and take photos,wait for a long time,watch after encountering gath-ering congestion,or watch or even return after being evacuated to a safe area,which may lead to the internal gathering of the site can not be effectively alleviated,and form a new risk point of crowd gathering in the periphery.(3)the three groups of"male,large group and short-term tourists"have poor evacuation behav-ior,and the proportion of gathering,staying and returning is higher,especially the large group with 4 or more people are more likely to take the harmful behavior of crowding forward.

关键词

开放性公共场所/突发事件/人员疏散/人群聚集风险/疏散行为

Key words

open public places/emergency/evacuation/crowd risk/evacuation behavior

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基金项目

国家自然科学基金项目(41977408)

"十三五"国家重点研发计划项目(2017YFC0804906)

出版年

2024
消防科学与技术
中国消防协会

消防科学与技术

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:0.846
ISSN:1009-0029
参考文献量15
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