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基于主成分分析的襄阳市水资源承载力评价

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为了全面评价襄阳市水资源承载力状况,文章从社会经济、水资源禀赋、水资源开发利用、水资源管理、水环境 5 个方面,选取 12 个指标构建评价体系,运用主成分分析法对襄阳市 2010-2022 年水资源承载力进行评价.结果表明:高质量发展、水资源条件和产业间用水矛盾是影响襄阳市水资源承载力的3个主要因素;社会经济与水资源管理、水环境并重的高质量发展是首要因素,得分逐年上升,增幅最大;水资源条件是次要因素,波动频繁且剧烈,表现出很不稳定的特点;产业间用水矛盾总体趋向缓和,但枯水年份仍比较突出;2010-2022年襄阳市水资源承载力总体呈上升趋势,但还有较大的提升空间.评价成果可为襄阳市更好地开展水资源工作以及促进社会经济可持续发展提供参考.
Evaluation of Water Resources Carrying Capacity of Xiangyang City Based on Principal Component Analysis
In order to comprehensively evaluate the water resources carrying capacity of Xiangyang City,an evaluation system was constructed by selecting 12 indicators from five aspects,namely,socio-economy,water resources endowment,water resources development and utilization,water resources management,and water environment,and the water resources carrying capacity of Xiangyang City was evaluated from 2010 to 2022 by using Principal Component Analysis(PCA).The results show that:high-quality development,water resources conditions and inter-industry water use conflicts are the three main factors affecting the water resources carrying capacity of Xiangyang;high-quality development,which emphasizes socio-economics,water resources management and the water environment,is the primary factor with the greatest increase year by year;water resources conditions are the secondary factor,fluctuations are frequent and dramatic,which is unstable;inter-industry water use conflicts trend to moderation,but there is relatively prominent in dry years;Xiangyang City's water resources carrying capacity is generally on the rise from 2010 to 2022,but there is still much room for improvement.The results of the evaluation can provide a reference for Xiangyang City to carry out water resources work and promote sustainable socio-economic development.

water resources carrying capacityPrincipal Component AnalysisXiangyang City

杨家香、耿文杰、晏志伟

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湖北省襄阳市水文水资源勘测局,湖北 襄阳 441003

长江水利委员会水文局 汉江水文水资源勘测局,湖北 襄阳 441002

水资源承载力 主成分分析 襄阳市

2024

湖北文理学院学报
湖北文理学院

湖北文理学院学报

CHSSCD
影响因子:0.164
ISSN:2095-4476
年,卷(期):2024.45(8)