首页|城市技术结构特征对经济韧性的影响——来自中国城市的经验证据

城市技术结构特征对经济韧性的影响——来自中国城市的经验证据

扫码查看
科技创新是引领发展的根本动力,也是城市抵御冲击、化解风险、调适转型的法宝,对城市实现高质量发展具有显著影响。本文从技术关联性、技术复杂性和技术多样性三个维度分析了我国城市技术结构特征,从抵抗与恢复力、应对和适应力、演化和转型力三个维度综合测算城市经济韧性,并基于中国 282 个地级及以上城市 2011-2020 年的面板数据,构建双向固定效应回归模型,实证检验城市技术结构特征对城市经济韧性的影响。研究发现:技术关联性、技术复杂性和技术多样性三种技术结构特征对城市经济韧性均具有显著促进作用。异质性结果表明,东部城市经济韧性提升更依赖技术复杂性和技术多样性,技术关联性的作用不显著;西部城市技术多样性较为缺乏,会抑制城市经济韧性的提升。科技支持水平高的城市,技术复杂性与技术多样性能显著促进经济韧性,而科技支持水平低的城市,三种技术结构特征均能显著增强其经济韧性。文章结论对城市科技创新布局和经济韧性提升具有重要的启迪意义。
The Impact of Urban Technological Structure Characteristics on Economic Resilience:Empirical Evidence from 282 Citites in China
Technological innovation is the fundamental driving force for development,as well as a magic weapon for enhancing urban resilience,resolving risks,and adapting to transformation.It has a significant impact on achieving high-quality development in cities.This article analyzes the technological structure characteristics of Chinese cities from three dimensions:technological relevance,technological complexity,and technological diversity;measures urban economic resilience from three dimensions:resistance and resilience,response and adaptability,evolution and transformation;and based on panel data from 282 prefecture level and above cities in China from 2011 to 2020,constructs a two-way fixed effects regression model to empirically test the impact of urban technological structure characteristics on urban economic resilience development.The results show that:The technological structure characteristics such as technological relevance,technological complexity,and technological diversity all have a significant promoting effect on the resilience of urban economy.Heterogeneity studies indicate that the economic resilience relies of eastern cities more on technological complexity and technological diversity,with the role of technological correlation not being significant;The weak potential for technological innovation in the western cities and the lack of technological diversity have limited the improvement of urban economic resilience.In the cities with high levels of technological support,the increase in technological complexity and the expansion of technological diversity significantly promote the improvement of economic resilience,while in the cities with low levels of technological support,all three technological structural characteristics can significantly enhance their economic resilience.The findings of this article has important guiding significance for urban technological innovation layout and economic resilience development.

Urban economic resilienceTechnological innovationTechnological relatednessTechnical complexityTechnical diversity

周锐波、王睿瑄、周育红

展开 >

华南理工大学经济与金融学院

城市经济韧性 科技创新 技术关联性 技术复杂性 技术多样性

国家社会科学基金项目国家社会科学基金项目

20BJY00919BJY064

2024

新经济
广东省社会科学院港澳研究中心

新经济

影响因子:0.036
ISSN:1009-8461
年,卷(期):2024.(4)
  • 30