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技术创新、产业结构升级和出口贸易韧性

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  • NETL
  • NSTL
  • 万方数据
本文采用2009-2022年30省区市数据(不包含香港、台湾、澳门和西藏)，构建双向固定面板回归模型考察技术创新对出口贸易韧性的影响。研究发现:技术创新对出口贸易韧性具有显著正向提升作用，该结论经过一系列稳健性检验后仍然成立。通过机制分析发现，技术创新可以通过提高产品质量和降低成本直接提高出口贸易韧性。产业结构升级所带来的"护城河"效应和突破路径锁定，使得其在技术创新对于出口贸易韧性的提升过程中发挥中介效应，并且技术创新对于出口贸易韧性提升具有显著的空间溢出效应。通过异质性分析发现，技术创新对于经济发达地区和非边疆地区出口贸易韧性提升作用更为显著。基于此，本文提出以下政策启示:一是重视创新成果的转化;二是加强地区经济合作与交流，提升边疆地区技术创新水平;三是重视技术创新与产业结构的协同发展。
Technological Innovation,Industrial Structure Upgrading and Export Trade Resilience
This paper uses provincial data from 2009 to 2022 to construct a two-way fixed panel regression model to empirically analyze the effect of technological innovation on export trade resilience.The study finds that technological innovation has a significant positive effect on export trade resilience,and this conclusion is still valid after a series of robustness tests.Through mechanism analysis,it is found that technological innovation can improve trade resilience by improving product quality and reducing costs.The upgrading of industrial structure plays an intermediary role in the process of technological innovation to enhance trade resilience,and technological innovation has a significant spatial spillover effect on the improvement of export trade resilience.Through heterogeneity analysis,it is found that technological innovation plays a more significant role in economically developed areas,and has the same significance for non-border areas.Based on this,this paper puts forward the following countermeasures and suggestions:attach importance to the transformation of innovation results;strengthen regional economic cooperation and exchanges,improving innovation level of border areas;pay attention to the synergy between technological innovation and industrial structure.

Technological InnovationIndustrial Structure UpgradingExport Trade ResilienceIntermediary EffectSpatial Spillover

邓小乐、林淑仪

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新疆财经大学国际经贸学院

中国(新疆)与中亚区域经济合作研究中心

技术创新 产业结构升级 出口贸易韧性 中介效应 空间溢出

新疆维吾尔自治区社科联新时代党的治疆方略理论与实践研究课题重点项目(2023)新疆维吾尔自治区人文社会科学重点研究基地重点项目新疆财经大学校级科研项目

2023ZJFLZ06XJEDU2023J0022022XGC046

2024

新经济
广东省社会科学院港澳研究中心

新经济

影响因子：0.036
ISSN：1009-8461
年,卷(期)：2024.(6)
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