首页|新型城镇化推动经济增长的机制研究——来自试点城市的证据

新型城镇化推动经济增长的机制研究——来自试点城市的证据

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为了推进传统城镇化道路的模式转型,近年来逐步开始进行新型城镇化建设的地区试点和推广工作,这一新的制度模式能否引领地区经济增长,是中国经济增速压力下的重要议题.本文基于2003-2018年城市层面数据,运用双重差分法评估新型城镇化试点对当地经济增长的影响及其机制.研究发现,新型城镇化试点显著促进了城市经济增长.机制分析表明,通过投资增强产业发展和加大科技投入是新型城镇化提升经济增长的重要路径.进一步来看,新型城镇化政策具有"涓滴效应",能提高试点周边城市经济总量.异质性分析显示,新型城镇化的政策效应集中体现在城市群内工业基础较好的中小城市.因此,新型城镇化要重点关注工业发展的中小城市,并进一步提升科技研发力度.
Research on the Mechanism of New-Type of Urbanization Driving Economic Growth:Evidence from Pilot Cities
In order to promote the paradigm transformation of the traditional urbanization path,regional piloting and promotion of new type of urbanization construction has been gradually carried out in recent years,and whether this new institutional model can lead regional economic growth is an important issue under the pressure of China's economic growth rate.Based on city-level data from 2003-2018,this paper uses the difference in differences method to assess the impact of new type of urbanization pilots on local economic growth and its mechanism.It is found that the new type of urbanization pilot significantly promotes urban economic growth.The mechanism analysis shows that enhancing industrial development through investment and increasing scientific and technological inputs are important paths for new type of urbanization to enhance economic growth.Further,the new type of urbanization policies have a"trickle-down effect",which can increase the total economic output of the cities around the pilots.Heterogeneity analyses show that the policy effects of new type of urbanization are concentrated in small and medium-sized cities with a better industrial base within city clusters.Therefore,new type of urbanization should focus on small and medium-sized cities with a strong industrial base and further enhance R&D in science and technology.

New Type of UrbanizationEconomic DevelopmentIndustrial DevelopmentScientific Investment

梁浚强、尤济红

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广州大学经济与统计学院

广州大学新结构经济学研究中心

新型城镇化 经济增长 产业发展 科技投入

2024

新经济
广东省社会科学院港澳研究中心

新经济

影响因子:0.036
ISSN:1009-8461
年,卷(期):2024.(10)