首页|阿拉木图与乌鲁木齐夏季降水变化趋势对比分析

阿拉木图与乌鲁木齐夏季降水变化趋势对比分析

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基于哈萨克斯坦阿拉木图站和新疆乌鲁木齐站的1967-2009年夏季降水资料,采用一元线性回归、Mann-Kendall突变检验和Morlet小波分析的方法,分析了两地夏季降水的变化趋势特征.结果表明:阿拉木图和乌鲁木齐夏季降水均呈增加趋势,20世纪70和80年代降水偏少,90年代至2009年降水偏多.乌鲁木齐夏季降水于1982年出现了突变点,阿拉木图夏季降水没有发生突变.2000年以前阿拉木图以6-8 a左右的短周期变化为主,2000年后以15-16 a左右的长周期变化为主,乌鲁木齐在1987年以前以4-6 a的短周期变化为主,在1987年以后以16a的长周期变化为主.
Comparative Analysis of Precipitation Variation Trend in Summertime Between Almaty and Urumqi
Based on the precipitation observation data during 1967-2009 in Almaty Station of Kazakhstan and Urumqi Station of Xinjiang,this paper analyzed the climatic variation of summer precipitation with methods such as simple linear regression method,Mann-Kendall abrupt test and Morlet wavelet analysis.The results showed that the summer precipitation of Almaty and Urumqi increased,and the precipitation was less from 1970s to 1980s than that from the 1990s to 2009;Urumqi had the abrupt point in 1982,and Almaty had no abrupt point; before 2000,Almaty had the main short period variation of 6-8 a,and then the long period variation of 15-16 a was obvious.Urumqi had the main shorter periodic change of 4-6 a before 1987 and the longer period variation of 16a since then.

summer precipitationvariation trendAlmatyUrumqi

黄秋霞、赵勇、何清

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新疆大学资源与环境科学学院,新疆乌鲁木齐830046

中国气象局乌鲁木齐沙漠气象研究所,新疆乌鲁木齐830002

中国气象局树木年轮理化研究重点开放实验室/新疆树木年轮生态重点实验室,新疆乌鲁木齐830002

夏季降水 变化趋势 阿拉木图 乌鲁木齐

国家国际科技合作计划资助项目

2010DFA92720-14

2013

沙漠与绿洲气象
新疆维吾尔自治区气象学会 中国气象局乌鲁木齐沙漠气象研究所

沙漠与绿洲气象

CSTPCD
影响因子:1.007
ISSN:1002-0799
年,卷(期):2013.7(2)
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