首页|1986-2010年巴楚木本植物物候变化特征及其对气候变化的响应分析

1986-2010年巴楚木本植物物候变化特征及其对气候变化的响应分析

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利用巴楚国家基本气候站1986—2010年的气象观测数据和地面物候观测资料,采用气候倾向率和气候趋势系数方法,分析气温、降水、日照时数的变化特征;木本植物选用新疆杨(Populus bolleanalanche),垂柳(Salix babylonica),杏树(Prunus armeniaca),苹果树(Malus pumila),沙枣树(Fdeagnys Qxycarpasehlecht),对植物物候期与气候变化的相互关系进行研究。研究表明:近25 a来巴楚气候增暖现象较明显,春、秋季变暖的趋势大于冬、夏季;春、夏降水量呈减少趋势,冬、秋两季降水量均呈增多趋势;年日照时数除春季日照时数表现为增加趋势外,其他季节均表现为不同程度的减少趋势。其中,以冬季减幅最显著。近25 a来巴楚木本植物芽开放期、展叶始期、开花始期表现提前趋势,叶变色始期和落叶始期表现推迟的趋势;影响植物物候期的主要气候因子为气温和日照时数,随气温升高,日照时数增多,植物生长季延长。木本植物春季物候期与春季气温和春季日照时数呈负相关,且相关性显著,而与冬季气温和冬季日照时数几乎没有显著相关性。木本植物物候与秋季温度呈正相关,秋季气温升高,物候期推迟。
Woody Plants Phonological Variation Characteristics and Its Responses to Climate Change During 1986-2010 in Bachu County
We have collected climatic data and monitoring data about plant phenology from 1986 to 2010 for Bachu county to analyze changing characteristic of temperature, precipitation and sunshine durations, and discuss the effect on phenology of Populus bolleanalanche, Salix babylonica, Prunus armeniaca, Fdeagnys Qxycarpasehlecht, Malus pumila, Pyrus bretschneideri, by calculating climate trend coefficient and climate tendency ratio. the research indicated that the temperature increased obviously, the warming rate was 0.18~0.95 ℃/10 a, The warming trend in spring and autumn was more obvious than that in winter and summer. The annual precipitation showed a decrease trend in recent 25 years, and decreased by -0.61 mm/10 a, with the downward trend in precipitation in spring and summer while the upward trend in winter and autumn. The annual sunshine hours in Bachu in recent 25 years presented a decrease trend, and the climate tendency rate was -30.34 h/10 a. Except in spring, the sunshine hours all presented a decrease trend at different degrees in other seasons. The most significant decrease amplitude (-27.09 h/10 a) occurred in winter. The increasing trend of precipitation was more obvious and the precipitation increased at the rate of 12.14 mm/10 a , The trend of climate change in Bachu county was becoming warmer and the trend was an clearly increase in precipitation. The decade, annual and seasonal sunshine durations in Bachu County had an increase trend since recent 25 years; seasonally, the incremental sunshine duration was the most in spring; the main climate factor affecting plant phenology was the temperature and sunshine durations. With the temperature rising and an increase in the time of sunshine durations, plant’s growing period extended. The arbor’s phenology in spring had correlativity with the temperature and sunshine durations in spring and notable correlativity in winter. There was a positive correlation between the phenological stages and autumn temperature, the phenological stages postponed inautumn.

Bachu countywoody plantplant phenologyclimate changeresponse

阿布都克日木·阿巴司、于艳、阿不都西库尔·阿不都克力木、Nuerpatiman Maimaitireyimu

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喀什地区气象局,新疆 喀什844000

塔什库尔干塔吉克自治县气象局,新疆 塔什库尔干845250

Tashikurgan Meteorological Bureau,Kashi 845250,China

巴楚县 木本植物 植物物候 气候变化

公益性(气象)行业专项公益性(气象)行业专项

GYHY201206014GYHY201106029

2015

沙漠与绿洲气象
新疆维吾尔自治区气象学会 中国气象局乌鲁木齐沙漠气象研究所

沙漠与绿洲气象

CSTPCD
影响因子:1.007
ISSN:1002-0799
年,卷(期):2015.(3)
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