沙漠与绿洲气象2024,Vol.18Issue(2) :163-168.DOI:10.12057/j.issn.1002-0799.2024.02.021

基于SPI的1961-2020年昌吉地区作物生长季气象干旱时空特征研究

Spatiotemporal Characteristics of Meteorological Drought Based on SPI during Crop Growing Season in Changji from 1961 to 2020

阿帕尔·肉孜 阿吉古丽·沙依提 叶尔克江·霍依哈孜 黄秋霞
沙漠与绿洲气象2024,Vol.18Issue(2) :163-168.DOI:10.12057/j.issn.1002-0799.2024.02.021

基于SPI的1961-2020年昌吉地区作物生长季气象干旱时空特征研究

Spatiotemporal Characteristics of Meteorological Drought Based on SPI during Crop Growing Season in Changji from 1961 to 2020

阿帕尔·肉孜 1阿吉古丽·沙依提 2叶尔克江·霍依哈孜 1黄秋霞1
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作者信息

  • 1. 昌吉州气象局,新疆 昌吉 831100
  • 2. 新疆气象学会,新疆 乌鲁木齐 830002
  • 折叠

摘要

基于昌吉地区1961-2020年的气象资料分析作物生长季标准化降水指数(SPI-7)的年际和年代际变化特征,揭示作物生长季干旱发生频率和强度.结果表明:1961-2020年昌吉地区作物生长季水分呈增加趋势,标准化降水指数以0.08/10 a的速率增加.气象干旱呈干—湿—干的年代际变化趋势,其中在1981年发生突变.干旱强度呈增加趋势,干旱发生面积呈弱减少趋势.东部地区是干旱高发区,但以轻旱为主;西部地区则是中旱、重旱和特旱高发区.昌吉地区的气象干旱存在6、9、16a的周期震荡,与历史灾情具有很好的吻合性.

Abstract

Based on meteorological data from 1961 to 2020 in Changji,the interannual and decadal variation characteristics of the standardized precipitation index(SPI-7)were analyzed,to reveal the frequency and intensity of drought occurrence during the crop growth season.The results show that,the water content showed an increasing trend from 1961 to 2020,with a standardized precipitation index increasing at a rate of 0.08/10 a.The meteorological drought showed an inter-decadal trend of dry-wet-dry,with a sudden change occurring in 1981.The intensity of drought was increasing,and the area of drought occurrence was weakly decreasing.There was a high incidence area of drought in the eastern region,and mainly characterized by mild drought.The western region was a high incidence area of moderate drought,severe drought,and extreme drought.The meteorological drought had periodic oscillations of 6,9,and 16 years in Changji,which was in good agreement with historical disasters.The research results provide a basis for crop drought monitoring and warning in Changji.

关键词

作物生长季/气象干旱/标准化降水指数(SPI)/干旱强度/干旱频率

Key words

crop growth season/meteorological drought/standardized precipitation index(SPI)/drought intensity/drought frequency

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基金项目

中央级公益性科研院所基本科研业务费专项(IDM2021005)

中央级公益性科研院所基本科研业务费专项(IDM2021001)

中国气象局创新发展专项(CXFZ2021J044-03)

国家自然科学基金面上项目(41875023)

昌吉州科技项目(2020S03)

出版年

2024
沙漠与绿洲气象
新疆维吾尔自治区气象学会 中国气象局乌鲁木齐沙漠气象研究所

沙漠与绿洲气象

CSTPCD
影响因子:1.007
ISSN:1002-0799
参考文献量23
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