首页|基于FloodArea模型的呼和浩特市城区大青山南麓山洪致灾临界面雨量研究

基于FloodArea模型的呼和浩特市城区大青山南麓山洪致灾临界面雨量研究

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以呼和浩特市城区北部大青山南麓山洪沟流域为研究区域,利用流域内气象观测站逐小时降水数据、数字高程模型数据、土地利用数据等资料,针对 1998 年 7 月 12 日和 2020 年 8月 1 日暴雨时段,采用FloodArea淹没模型进行洪水动态淹没模拟.结果表明:1998 年 7 月 12日暴雨过程的FloodArea水动力模型模拟结果与实际情况较为吻合,且 9 条山洪沟的洪水淹没深度与累计 9h滑动面雨量的相关程度最高,构建了面雨量与淹没深度的回归关系方程,基于隐患点3个风险等级,确定了不同等级下的临界面雨量,以红山口沟为例,分别为69.9 mm(1级)、39.3 mm(2级)、17.2 mm(3 级).2020 年 8 月 1日暴雨过程的模型模拟结果基本与山洪过程一致.
Study on the Critical Surface Rainfall of Flash Floods at the South Foot of Daqingshan in Hohhot Based on F1oodArea Model
Taking the gully watershed at the south foot of Daqing Mountain in the north of Hohhot city as the study area,and based on the hourly precipitation data of national meteorological stations and regional meteorological stations in the basin,digital elevation model DEM data,and land use data,the flood dynamic inundation simulation and effect test were carried out for two rainstorm periods on July 12th,1998 and August 1st,2020,by using the FloodArea model.The results showed that the simulation results of the F1oodArea hydrodynamic model were in good agreement with the actual situation for the torrential rain process on July 12th,1998.The flood inundation with depth of 9 gullies in the basin had the best correlation with the accumulated 9-hour sliding surface rainfall,and the regression relationship equation between areal rainfall and submerged depth was constructed.Based on the three risk levels of hidden danger points,the critical rainfall at different levels were finally determined,taking the Hongshankou gully as an example,69.9 mm(grade 1),39.3 mm(grade 2),17.2 mm(grade 3),respectively.For the rainstorm process on August 1st,2020,the model simulation results were basically consistent with the torrential flood process,which also proved the applicability of the linear regression models,laying a foundation for the further establishment of the city's torrential flood disaster forecast service in the future.

torrential floodFloodArea modellinear regression modelcritical surface rainfall

魏巍、高晶、杨晶、刘新、贾晓红、郭海明

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内蒙古自治区气候中心,内蒙古 呼和浩特 010051

内蒙古自治区气象服务中心,内蒙古 呼和浩特 010051

呼和浩特市气象台,内蒙古 呼和浩特 010020

山洪 FloodArea模型 线性回归模型 临界面雨量

内蒙古自治区科技计划项目内蒙古自治区气象科研项目

2021GG0019nmqxkjcx202445

2024

沙漠与绿洲气象
新疆维吾尔自治区气象学会 中国气象局乌鲁木齐沙漠气象研究所

沙漠与绿洲气象

CSTPCD
影响因子:1.007
ISSN:1002-0799
年,卷(期):2024.18(4)
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