首页|后2020时期临界贫困群体的识别及影响机理研究——基于重庆市3117份农户样本的实证

后2020时期临界贫困群体的识别及影响机理研究——基于重庆市3117份农户样本的实证

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临界贫困群体作为巩固脱贫攻坚时期及乡村振兴中农户返贫的潜在增量,研究其内涵、识别方法和影响机理对构建农村贫困长效治理机制具有重要意义.在阐释临界贫困内涵的基础上,构建了临界贫困群体的识别指标体系,运用全排列多边形综合图示法、中位数比例法和Dagum基尼系数,基于重庆市3 117份农户样本,对临界贫困群体的识别及影响机理进行了实证研究.研究结果表明:样本农户的多维临界贫困指数整体较低,且呈现正态分布特征,介于0.257和0.839之间;从3 117份一般户样本中识别出330户临界贫困户,临界贫困发生率为10.59%;在15个探测指标因素中,海拔、耕地流转情况、文化程度、劳动力数量、医疗教育负担、到场镇距离、疫情灾情影响、政策满意度、政策期望值9个指标因素与样本农户临界贫困群体在不同水平下具有统计学意义.外部环境因素中区域资源禀赋匮乏、外部机会获取偏少和地方政策支撑薄弱,内部个体因素中农户个体能力较弱、内生动力不足和家庭个体水平较差是造成临界贫困的主要因素.地方政府应规范相对贫困人口识别标准和程序,构建防止返贫致贫的动态监测预警以及农村低收入人口的帮扶机制,建立分类管理、分类帮扶、分类施策机制.
Identification and Influencing Mechanism of Critical Poverty Groups in the Post-2020 Period——An Empirical Study Based on 3 117 Peasant Household Samples in Chongqing
Critical poverty group—a potential increment of causing poverty for peasant households during the period of consolidating poverty alleviation and rural revitalization,whose connotation,identification methods and influence mechanisms are of great significance to build a long-term governance mechanism for rural poverty.On the basis of explaining the connotation of critical poverty,this paper constructs an index system for the identification of critical poverty group,and conducts an empirical study on the identification and influence mechanism of critical poverty group based on 3 117 peasant household samples in Chongqing City by using full array polygon comprehensive graph method,median ratio method and Dagum Gini coef-ficient.The result shows that the overall multi-dimensional critical poverty index of the sample peasant households is low,and presents normal distribution characteristics,mainly between 0.257-0.839;330 critical poverty households were identified from 3 117 general households,with an incidence rate of 10.59%.Among the 15 detection indicator factors,including altitude,farmland transfer situation,cultur-al level,labor force,medical and educational burden,distance to town,impact of epidemic and disaster,policy satisfaction,policy expectations,and other 9 indicator factors have significant correlation with the critical poverty group of sample farmers at different levels.The main factors causing critical poverty are the lack of regional resource endowments,limited access to external opportunities,and weak local policy support in external environmental factors,as well as weak individual abilities of farmers,insufficient en-dogenous motivation,and poor individual household levels in internal individual factors.Local govern-ments should standardize the identification standards and procedures for relatively impoverished popula-tions,establish dynamic monitoring,early warning,and assistance mechanisms to prevent poverty and low-income rural populations from returning to poverty,and establish mechanisms for classified manage-ment,assistance,and policy implementation.

the post-2020 periodcritical povertyinfluencing mechanismChongqing City

蔡进、冯朝晖、张宇、禹洋春、廖和平、李斌

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重庆工商大学公共管理学院,重庆 400067

重庆工商大学工商管理学院,重庆 400067

西南大学地理科学学院,重庆 400715

后2020时期 临界贫困 影响机理 重庆市

2025

西南大学学报(自然科学版)
西南大学学报编辑部

西南大学学报(自然科学版)

北大核心
影响因子:0.825
ISSN:1673-9868
年,卷(期):2025.47(1)