系统科学学报2024,Vol.32Issue(3) :77-81.

基于SIR演化博弈模型的突发公共危机事件网络舆情引导研究

Research on Public Sentiment Guidance of Public Crisis Incidents Based on SIR Evolutionary Game Model

毕鹏 陈伟 丁小洲
系统科学学报2024,Vol.32Issue(3) :77-81.

基于SIR演化博弈模型的突发公共危机事件网络舆情引导研究

Research on Public Sentiment Guidance of Public Crisis Incidents Based on SIR Evolutionary Game Model

毕鹏 1陈伟 2丁小洲2
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作者信息

  • 1. 佳木斯大学经济与管理学院,黑龙江佳木斯 154007;石河子大学经济与管理学院,新疆石河子 832000
  • 2. 哈尔滨工程大学经济与管理学院,黑龙江哈尔滨 150001
  • 折叠

摘要

媒体平台的"流量"决策导致煽动言论的野蛮生长而加速了网民情绪的负面演化,使得产生舆情危机的风险增加,成为政府部门亟待解决的难题.本研究从复杂系统理论的视角,基于传播动力学理论与演化博弈理论,构建SIR演化博弈模型探索网络舆情在形成——消亡阶段中的动态演化规律以及主体决策博弈演化过程.详细研究了政府部门和自媒体部门对突发公共事件网络舆情引导过程中的策略选择,为有效和控制预防舆情危机控制提供有益探索.

Abstract

The"flow"decision-making of self-media platforms has led to the barbaric growth of inci-ting speech and accelerated the negative evolution of netizens'emotions,which has become an urgent problem for government departments to solve.Based on the theory of complex system,communication dy-namics and evolutionary game theory,this research constructs an SIR evolutionary game model to explore the dynamic evolution law of online public opinion in the formation-death stage and the evolution process of the main decision-making game.The study has studied in detail the strategic choices of government depart-ments and self-media departments in the process of guiding public opinion on emergent public incidents,and provided useful exploration for effectively control prevention of public opinion crisis control.

关键词

突发公共危机事件/网络舆情/传播与控制/SIR演化博弈分析

Key words

sudden public crisis/network public opinion/communication and control/SIR evolu-tionary game analysis

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基金项目

国家知识产权局软科学课题(SS20-B-17)

黑龙江省自然科学基金项目(LH2019G003)

哈尔滨工程大学中央高校基金科研业务费项目(3072020CFW0915)

黑龙江省普通本科高等学校青年创新人才培养计划(UNPYSCT-2017103)

出版年

2024
系统科学学报
太原理工大学

系统科学学报

北大核心
影响因子:0.478
ISSN:1005-6408
参考文献量9
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