首页|PRP治疗膝骨关节炎疗效的影响因素及相关预测模型构建

PRP治疗膝骨关节炎疗效的影响因素及相关预测模型构建

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目的 分析影响富血小板血浆(Platelet Rich Plasma,PRP)治疗膝骨关节炎(Knee Osteoarthritis,KOA)疗效的影响因素,并构建预测模型.方法 回顾性选取2019年1月—2023年1月苏州大学附属第三医院接受PRP治疗的320例KOA患者的临床资料,根据治疗1年后的预后情况分为疗效良好组(n=222)与疗效不佳组(n=98).采用Logistic回归进行影响因素分析.使用受试者工作特征曲线进行预测价值分析.结果 年龄、体质指数、K-L分级、糖尿病史以及白细胞介素-6水平是影响PRP治疗效果的独立危险因素(OR=1.210、7.193、5.391、3.411、1.056,P均<0.05).ROC曲线检验结果显示,模型预测的AUC为 0.951(95%CI:0.921~0.972),各因素(年龄、BMI、K-L分级、糖尿病史以及血清IL-6)单独预测的AUC分别为0.736、0.855、0.624、0.561以及0.794,模型的AUC显著高于各因素单独预测的AUC(Z=7.464、4.357、10.693、13.490、6.029,P均<0.05).结论 KOA患者接受PRP治疗的效果受到年龄、体质指数、K-L分级、糖尿病以及白细胞介素-6水平的影响,以上述指标构建的列线图模型,经验证具有良好的区分度.
Influencing Factors and Constructing Relevant Prediction Models for the Efficacy of PRP in the Treatment of Knee Osteoarthritis
Objective To analyze the influencing factors affecting the efficacy of platelet-rich plasma(PRP)in the treatment of knee osteoarthritis(KOA)and to construct a prediction model.Methods The clinical data of 320 KOA pa-tients treated with PRP at the Third Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University from January 2019 to January 2023 were retrospectively analyzed as study subjects,and were divided into a good efficacy group(n=222)and a poor effi-cacy group(n=98)according to the prognosis after 1 year of treatment.Influencing factors were analyzed using logistic regression.Predictive value analysis was carried out using subject work characteristic curves.Results Age,body mass index,K-L classification,history of diabetes mellitus,and interleukin-6 level were independent risk factors affecting the outcome of PRP treatment(OR=1.210,7.193,5.391,3.411,1.056,all P<0.05).The ROC curve test results show that the model's predicted AUC is 0.951(95%CI:0.921-0.972).The individual factors(age,BMI,K-L grade,history of diabetes,and serum IL-6)have separate predicted AUCs of 0.736,0.855,0.624,0.561,and 0.794,respectively.The model's AUC is significantly higher than the individual factors'predicted's AUC(Z=7.464,4.357,10.693,13.490,6.029,all P<0.05).Conclusion The effect of PRP treatment in KOA patients was influenced by age,body mass index,K-L classification,diabetes mellitus,and interleukin-6 level,and the column-line graph model con-structed with the above indexes was verified to have a good differentiation.

Platelet-rich plasmaKnee osteoarthritisInfluencing factorsColumn-line diagrams

秦春明、刘锦波

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苏州大学附属第三医院骨科,江苏 常州 213003

富血小板血浆 膝骨关节炎 影响因素 列线图

2024

系统医学

系统医学

ISSN:
年,卷(期):2024.9(12)